Today's Top Picks: Why the Suns are live 'dogs in San Antonio and more NBA best bets for Friday

Zion Williamson will be playing his second NBA game on Friday night, but unlike his first game, this one won't be on national television, so most people won't see it. And that's fine. You know why? Well, because there's nothing in tonight's Pelicans-Nuggets game I can see that's worth betting.

There are three other NBA games on Friday night I like quite a bit, though, and since you came all this way, it'd be rude not to tell you about them.

All odds via William Hill.

1. Raptors at Knicks: Under 217

The Knicks have been one of the more reliable Under teams in the NBA this year thanks to their wonderful combination of their horribly inefficient offense and a slower pace than a lot of other teams play at. It's that slow pace that helps take the heat off a lousy defense. All of it has led to the Under going 26-19 in Knicks games this year, including a remarkable 15-7 when at home. Toronto ranks second in defensive efficiency in the NBA, which will limit the Knicks scoring even further and keep this a lower-scoring game. I don't hate the Raptors against the spread, either, but I'm not a big fan of taking such massive road favorites. The Under is the smarter play.

DFS millionaire Mike McClure saw multiple huge cashes again early in the 2019-20 NBA season and got 2020 off to a blistering start with his optimal lineup returning at least 7x on DraftKings on three of the first five days of the year. See tonight's picks only at SportsLine.    

2. Clippers at Heat: Under 221.5

There aren't a lot of trends that support this pick, at least not ones that stand out. I'm just of the opinion that this total is a little too high for a game that will feature two robust defenses. I also have questions about Miami's offense in this matchup. The Heat have a top-10 offense in efficiency, but they're also playing their fourth game in six nights. For a team that features four players logging at least 30 minutes per game, that should lead to some tired legs and shots coming up short tonight.

SportsLine's top NFL expert Mike Tierney has been on a roll when it comes to picking Chiefs or 49ers games, going 13-5 on recent spread picks involving those teams. He's made his selection for Super Bowl LIV, and you can find it only at SportsLine.   

3. Suns at Spurs: Suns +4.5

The Spurs are one of the worst teams in the NBA against the spread this season, going 18-24-1 overall. In that record, however, there's a severe split. You see, when the Spurs are underdogs, they're not bad ATS, going 12-10. When they're favored, they're horrific. Seriously, the Spurs have been favored 21 times this season and are 6-14-1 ATS in those games. As home favorites -- like they are tonight -- they're a ridiculous 3-12 ATS. The Suns, meanwhile, are 13-8-1 ATS as an underdog, 12-7 ATS on the road, and 9-4 ATS as road 'dogs. All the trends point to taking the Suns here. The Spurs playing their fifth game in eight nights doesn't hurt my confidence, either.

SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley is up more than $19,000 in the past year on his MMA selections. He has just released his selections for Saturday's UFC Fight Night 166 card, and you can see all his picks over at SportsLine.    

CBS Sports Writer

Tom Fornelli has been a college football writer at CBS Sports since 2010. During his time at CBS, Tom has proven time and again that he hates your favorite team and thinks your rival is a paragon of football... Full Bio

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