Injuries have started popping up, preseason has begun, and early signs are driving bettors to the books. It has been two weeks since the open of the team over/under odds for each team's win total, and there has been some movement. From the Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas:
|Team||Over/Under||Change from 9/20|
|Chicago Bulls||38.5||NO CHANGE|
|Cleveland Cavaliers||56.5||NO CHANGE|
|Golden State Warriors||66.5||NO CHANGE|
|Los Angeles Clippers||54||⬆︎0.5|
|Los Angeles Lakers||25||⬆︎0.5|
|Memphis Grizzlies||43.5||NO CHANGE|
|Minnesota Timberwolves||41.5||NO CHANGE|
|New Orleans Pelicans||36.5||NO CHANGE|
|New York Knicks||40||⬆︎1.5|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||45.5||NO CHANGE|
|Orlando Magic||36.5||NO CHANGE|
|Philadelphia 76ers||OFF THE BOARD||OFF THE BOARD|
|Portland Trail Blazers||45.5||⬇︎1.5|
|Sacramento Kings||32.5||NO CHANGE|
|San Antonio Spurs||57.5||⬆︎1.0|
|Utah Jazz||47.5||NO CHANGE|
|Washington Wizards||42.5||NO CHANGE|
- The Nuggets must have had the public hammer their over to jump two wins. They were an easy mark for the over, just as they were last year.
- The Trail Blazers dropping 1.5 is interesting, given that they have no major injuries outside of Festus Ezeli and still look like a playoff team.
- Houston jumping two isn't surprising; every word out of camp has been positive when it comes to the team embracing Mike D'Antoni's system.
- The Bucks took the biggest tumble after the Khris Middleton injury.
- The Chris Bosh news knocks the Heat down, and they might be a nice over bet at this point. If Erik Spoelstra can just pull them into a halfway decent squad relative to talent level, they'll be within striking distance.
- I liked the Spurs under before. I really like it at 57.5. However, I cannot tell you to go that route, because it is the Spurs and betting against the Spurs should be forbidden under any and every circumstance.
As for the NBA championship odds, there's no way to justify putting money on anyone but the Cavaliers or Warriors, and the return isn't great. But if you were curious, here's the top 10:
|Golden State Warriors||5-7|
|San Antonio Spurs||6-1|
|Los Angeles Clippers||20-1|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||30-1|
|New York Knicks||60-1|
- The Knicks: LOL.
- The Spurs at 6-1 isn't bad return, but then, you're banking on them to win in the first season after Duncan retired, with Pau Gasol trying to defend regularly in the pick and roll and arguably a worse bench.
- The Clippers at 20-1 is solid. They've given the Warriors trouble historically. They're still unlikely to win, but at 20-1, that's good enough to take a swing at.
- The books LOVE Boston. Their 8-1 odds to win the East are probably better, though. That's basically a "LeBron gets hurt" hedge.
The Warriors, with Kevin Durant, are now +700 to win 74 games or more this season, in what seems like a criminal odd set, given how good they were last season and they just added Durant, but the team seems adamant they won't chase the record this campaign.