Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors aim to protect their home floor on Saturday in a nationally-televised face-off. The Philadelphia 76ers will visit San Francisco for the contest, with Joel Embiid (shoulder), Josh Richardson (concussion) and Ben Simmons (back) all sidelined for the road team. For Golden State, Draymond Green (knee) is listed as questionable. 

Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at the Chase Center. Sportsbooks list the 76ers as two-point road favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 227 in the latest Warriors vs. Sixers odds. Before you make any 76ers vs. Warriors picks and NBA predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned almost $4,000 in profit on all top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season. It also entered Week 20 a blistering 49-31 on all top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on 76ers vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Sixers vs. Warriors:

  • 76ers vs. Warriors spread: 76ers -2
  • 76ers vs. Warriors over-under: 227 points
  • 76ers vs. Warriors money line: 76ers -134, Warriors +113
  • PHI: 76ers are 4-2 against the spread in the last six games
  • GS: Warriors are 3-1 against the spread in the last four games

Why the 76ers can cover

The model knows the 76ers are a potent defensive team, even without their top two players. Philadelphia ranks as a strongly above-average defense for the full season, and the Sixers are an elite squad at securing defensive rebounds. The Warriors rank as a bottom-feeding offense, with very little threat on the offensive glass and questionable metrics in most categories. Offensively, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league at avoiding turnovers (14 percent) and generating offensive rebounds (26 percent).

Why the Warriors can cover

The model also knows the Warriors are a different team with Curry on the floor, evidenced in his return on Thursday evening. Curry is averaging 20.8 points and 6.6 assists and, more importantly, he is the No. 1 shooter in the league, both today and all-time. His shooting tips the scales offensively and, for a team that already excels at generating free throw attempts near the rim, having additional space is significant. Additionally, Golden State is in the top 12 in free throw rate allowed at 19 percent.

How to make 76ers vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, with Andrew Wiggins projected to fall short of his scoring average and Embiid unavailable for Philadelphia. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Sixers vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the 76ers vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model on a 49-31 roll on NBA picks, and find out.