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The Golden State Warriors visit the Indiana Pacers in a Monday evening showdown on Dec. 13. The Warriors are 21-5 this season but coming off a Saturday night loss to Philadelphia. The Pacers are just 12-16, but Indiana is on a three-game winning streak. T.J. Warren (foot) and T.J. McConnell (wrist) are out for Indiana, with Justin Holiday (reconditioning) listed as questionable. Andre Iguodala (knee), James Wiseman (knee) and Klay Thompson (Achilles) are out for Golden State.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 3.5-point road favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 213.5 in the latest odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Warriors vs. Pacers match-up, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Pacers and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pacers vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Pacers spread: Warriors -3.5
  • Warriors vs. Pacers over-under: 213.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Pacers money line: Warriors -170, Pacers +145
  • GSW: The Warriors are 2-1 against the spread with no days rest in 2021-22
  • IND: The Pacers are 8-6-1 against the spread at home this season
Featured Game | Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State has a fantastic statistical profile, and Indiana struggles in a few key areas. The Warriors are out-scoring opponents by 12.0 points per 100 possessions this season, with top-five marks on both ends of the floor. Golden State leads the NBA in assists and assist percentage on offense, with the No. 1 mark in defensive efficiency and field goal percentage allowed on the opposite side. Golden State also sets the pace in the NBA by grabbing more than 75 percent of available defensive rebounds, and the Warriors are balanced and effective. 

From there, the Pacers are just No. 24 in the NBA in three-point shooting accuracy on offense. Indiana is also just No. 24 in turnover creation and No. 25 in steals on defense, with the Pacers ranking in the bottom 10 in free throw creation and free throw prevention this season.

Why the Pacers can cover

Indiana is above-average on both ends of the floor, and the Pacers are playing very well on offense. The Pacers are scoring 123.7 points per 100 possessions during a three-game winning streak, and Indiana is scoring nearly 1.1 points per possession for the season. The Pacers are shooting 54.9 percent on 2-point shots, a top-five mark, and Indiana is in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive rebound rate, second-chance points, fast-break points and points in the paint in 2021-22. 

On defense, the Pacers are holding opponents to just 50.9 percent shooting on 2-point attempts, and Indiana is in the top three of the NBA in assist prevention, 3-pointers allowed and blocked shots. The Pacers are securing nearly 75 percent of available defensive rebounds, and the Warriors are currently third-worst in the league in protecting the ball in committing a turnover on 16 percent of offensive possessions.

How to make Pacers vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 213 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.