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The Golden State Warriors look to continue their recent success over the New Orleans Pelicans when they meet Monday in the first of back-to-back matchups. The Warriors (32-32), who are just 13-21 on the road, have won 25 of the last 29 meetings with New Orleans dating back to 2012. The Pelicans (29-35), who are 17-16 at home, have won two straight and four of six overall. This will be the first of three meetings this season. The teams split four games last year.

The game from Smoothie King Center in New Orleans is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are averaging 112.9 points per game, while the Pelicans average 115.3. New Orleans is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Pelicans odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 236. Before finalizing any Pelicans vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,400 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,400 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 19 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-60 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Pelicans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Pelicans vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Pelicans spread: Pelicans -2.5
  • Warriors vs. Pelicans over-under: 236 points
  • Warriors vs. Pelicans money line: Pelicans -140, Warriors +120
  • GS: Has won 14 of the last 16 games played at New Orleans
  • NO: Is 4-1 against the spread in the last five games

Why the Pelicans can cover

Among the many weapons on hand for New Orleans is point guard Lonzo Ball, who helped power the Pelicans in their overtime win over Minnesota on Saturday. Ball recorded a double-double with 33 points and 11 rebounds and added eight assists. He had a triple-double on Wednesday in a loss at Denver with 16 points, 12 rebounds and 12 assists. For the season, Ball is averaging 14.4 points, 5.8 assists, 4.6 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. He made a career-high eight 3-pointers at Houston on April 4.

Also boosting the offense is veteran guard Eric Bledsoe. In 63 games, including 62 starts, Bledsoe is averaging 11.9 points, 3.7 assists and 3.4 rebounds per game. He has reached double figures 37 times on the season, and recorded two double-doubles. He is connecting on 34.6 percent of his 3-pointers and had a career-high-tying seven against his old team, the Milwaukee Bucks, on Jan. 29.

Why the Warriors can cover

Despite that, New Orleans isn't a lock to cover the Warriors vs. Pelicans spread. That's because Golden State has been among the league's best over the past month. Leading the charge has been point guard Stephen Curry, who leads the league in scoring at 31.3 points per game and in 3-pointers made with 291. Curry is also averaging 5.8 assists, 5.5 rebounds and 1.2 steals. He is coming off a 30-point performance against Houston on Saturday, connecting on 7 of 17 3-pointers. He had a 53-point game against Denver on April 12, draining 10 of 18 3-pointers.

Golden State is expected to be without guard Kelly Oubre Jr., who is out indefinitely with a wrist injury, but forward Andrew Wiggins has stepped up his offense of late, scoring 20 or more points in each of the past two games. For the season, Wiggins is averaging 18.1 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists, one steal and one block per game. He has a pair of double-doubles on the season, including a 16-point, 10-rebound effort at Philadelphia on April 19. He has already set his single-season career high for blocks with 64.

How to make Pelicans vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pelicans vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.