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The Golden State Warriors went from five consecutive NBA Finals appearances to the league basement last season with a 15-50 record. They've made significant improvement thus far in 2020-21, as they're halfway to surpassing their 2019-20 win total and three away from matching their total of eight home victories. The Warriors (8-8) attempt to move a step closer when they host the struggling Minnesota Timberwolves (4-11) on Monday. Minnesota could be without D'Angelo Russell (quadriceps), who has yet to face his former team since being traded to the Timberwolves last February. Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID-19) remains out for Minnesota.

Tip-off at the Chase Center in San Francisco, Cal. is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Golden State as an 8.5-point favorite, while the over-under is 226 in the latest Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds. Before making any Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 69-40 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Timberwolves. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread: Golden State -8.5
  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves over-under: 226 points
  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves money line: Golden State -380, Minnesota +310
  • GSW: The Warriors are 3-11-2 in their last 16 games as favorites
  • MIN: The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 contests following a victory

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State has managed to avoid a three-game losing streak twice already this season, and it has a great chance to do so again as Minnesota hasn't won consecutive games since capturing the first two of the campaign. The Warriors also have the advantage of playing at home this time, as their previous two skid-stopping victories came on the road. Stephen Curry is looking to reach the 20-point plateau for the seventh straight game after pouring in 24 in Saturday's 127-108 setback at Utah.

Curry drilled five 3-pointers in the loss to move past Reggie Miller (2,560) and became the second-best long-range shooter in NBA history with 2,562 successful shots from beyond the arc, passing Reggie Miller (2,560). Andrew Wiggins is second on the team in scoring (17.4 points) and has hit double digits in every contest this season. The 25-year-old small forward recorded 13 points against the Jazz while making a game-high three blocks, one fewer than Utah's total for the night.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Minnesota had six players in double figures in its 120-110 home victory over New Orleans on Saturday. Naz Reid led the way as he matched his career high with a season-best 20 points. The second-year center from LSU was 8-for-8 from the free-throw line and has made all 16 of his foul shots over his last six contests.

The Timberwolves received 50 points from their bench, with Anthony Edwards (18), Jarrett Culver (16) and Jordan McLaughlin (11) hitting double figures. The 24-year-old McLaughlin produced a total of 12 points over his previous four games. Power forward Jarred Vanderbilt had a career night against the Pelicans, setting career highs of 11 rebounds and 16 points on 8-of-13 shooting.

How to make Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 227 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Timberwolves vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Timberwolves vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.