The Minnesota Timberwolves will seek revenge against the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night. The Timberwolves fell to the Warriors on Monday and, after an off day, the two teams square off in a rematch. Minnesota limps into tonight's contest with a 1-6 road record, while the Warriors are 6-4 in their home building. Karl-Anthony Towns (protocols) and Jarrett Culver (ankle) are out for the Timberwolves, with D'Angelo Russell (quad) questionable to play on Wednesday.
Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Warriors as 8.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 230.5 in the latest Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds. Before you make any Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 69-40 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Wolves vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -8.5
- Wolves vs. Warriors over-under: 230.5 points
- Wolves vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -400, Minnesota +320
- MIN: The Timberwolves are 2-5 against the spread in road games
- GSW: The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread at home this season
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Without Towns in the fold, the Timberwolves are keyed by an offensive-minded backcourt. Russell is averaging 20.5 points and 5.5 assists per game to lead the team in the absence of their start center, and Malik Beasley adds 19.6 points and 4.9 rebounds per game. Minnesota also deploys the No. 1 overall pick, Anthony Edwards, who brings upside to the table as an athletic marvel. Minnesota is a solid offensive rebounding team, pulling down 27.4 percent of its own misses, and the Timberwolves are an above-average team in assist rate at 61.0 percent.
Defensively, the Timberwolves can take solace against a bottom-10 offense in Golden State, with the Warriors scoring only 1.08 points per possession this season. The Warriors are also the NBA's worst rebounding team on a percentage basis (47 percent), and Minnesota could make overall gains on the glass.
Why the Warriors can cover
In addition to home-court advantage, the presence of Stephen Curry and several strengths of their own team, the Warriors should benefit from Minnesota's struggles. The Timberwolves enter Wednesday's game with the NBA's worst point differential, and opponents are outpacing Minnesota by 9.0 points per 100 possessions. That includes bottom-tier marks on both ends of the floor, with the Timberwolves ranking second-worst in offensive rating (104.2 points per 100 possessions) and fourth-worst in defensive rating (113.2 points allowed per 100 possessions).
Minnesota's true shooting percentage (53.2 percent) ranks 29th in the NBA offensively, and the Timberwolves are the worst defensive rebounding team in the league, securing only 70.2 percent of available chances. Those issues, coupled with Golden State's easy win earlier this week, should provide confidence for the Warriors.
How to make Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 231 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Timberwolves vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.