The Memphis Grizzlies will look to inch above the .500 mark when they travel to the nation's capital to face the Washington Wizards on Tuesday evening. The Grizzlies, led by Ja Morant, sit at 15-15 overall in 2020-21, and Memphis boasts a record of 8-5 on the road. The Wizards are on the upswing, winning seven of the last nine games. Overall, though, Washington is just 13-19 overall and 6-9 at home despite the high-end performance of Bradley Beal.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. The latest Wizards vs. Grizzlies odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Washington as a one-point favorite. The over-under for total points scored is set at 237. Before making any Grizzlies vs. Wizards picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up nearly $8,500 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 11 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards spread: Wizards -1
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards over-under: 237 points
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards money line: Wizards -115, Grizzlies -105
- MEM: The Grizzlies are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
- WASH: The Wizards are 8-1 against the spread in the last nine games
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Memphis is a defense-first team, ranking in the top 10 of the NBA in allowing only 109.8 points per 100 possessions. The Grizzlies rank No. 1 in steals per game (9.9) and also lead the league in overall turnover creation, forcing their opponents to commit a giveaway on 16.5 percent of offensive possessions. Memphis is a top-10 defensive rebounding team that is No. 3 in the league in allowing only 11.4 second-chance points per game, and the Grizzlies yield only 44.9 points in the paint per game, No. 6 in the NBA.
On the offensive side, Morant averages 18.4 points and 7.7 assists per game, and he is the team's best creator. The Grizzlies are No. 3 in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.97), No. 7 in offensive rebound rate (28.9 percent) and above-average in turnover rate (13.7 percent). Washington also struggles defensively, landing in the bottom of the league in points allowed per possession.
Why the Wizards can cover
Washington's offense is explosive at times, headlined by Beal and Russell Westbrook. Beal leads the NBA in scoring, averaging 33.2 points per game, and Westbrook contributes nearly a triple-double each night, putting up 19.9 points, 9.9 rebounds and 9.6 assists per contest. As a team, the Wizards are No. 2 in the NBA in free throw creation, with above-average marks in taking care of the ball with a 13.5 percent turnover rate.
Defensively, Washington is also above-average in turnover creation rate (14.4 percent), and the Wizards are No. 7 in the league in protecting the paint. Washington's best attribute may be transition defense, however, as the Wizards are No. 4 in the NBA in allowing only 10.5 fast break points per game. Memphis also struggles to get to the free throw line (second-worst in the NBA), and the Grizzlies are below-average in both offensive efficiency and shooting efficiency.
How to make Grizzlies vs. Wizards picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 247 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-52 roll on NBA picks.