Bradley Beal, Russell Westbrook and the Washington Wizards visit Domantas Sabonis and the Indiana Pacers on Saturday. The Wizards picked up a road win over the Toronto Raptors in their last outing, improving to 31-36 this season. The Pacers defeated the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday, improving their own record to 31-35. Myles Turner (toe) is out for the Pacers, with Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring), Jeremy Lamb (knee) and Edmond Sumner (knee) listed as questionable. Indiana is ninth in the NBA Eastern Conference standings, just half a game ahead of Washington.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. The latest Wizards vs. Pacers odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Washington as a 3.5-point favorite. The over-under for total points scored is set at 248.5. Before finalizing any Pacers vs. Wizards picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 20 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Wizards vs. Pacers spread: Wizards -3.5
- Wizards vs. Pacers over-under: 248.5 points
- Wizards vs. Pacers money line: Wizards -165, Pacers +145
- WASH: The Wizards are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
- IND: The Pacers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Wizards can cover
The Wizards have the most wins in the NBA since April 12 and they are playing at a high level. Washington is 12-3 in the last 15 games, putting together a top-tier offense and a strong defense in that sample. The Wizards are out-scoring opponents by 7.9 points per 100 possessions during the run, with the No. 3 offense in the league and the No. 8 defense in the league since the turnaround began. Part of that shift has been the performance of their best players, headlined by Westbrook.
Westbrook has a whopping 12 triple-doubles in the last 15 games, averaging 22.1 points, 13.9 rebounds and 13.3 assists per contest. Washington is also grabbing 30.0 percent of its own misses on the offensive glass during the 12-3 spurt, with 1.94 assists for every turnover and an impressive true shooting mark of 59.3 percent.
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana has strengths on both sides of the floor. The Pacers are one of the best passing teams in the NBA, averaging 27.0 assists per game, and Sabonis engineers the offense. The talented big man is averaging 20.3 points, 11.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game, and Sabonis was exceptional in Indiana's last game, scoring 30 points in a win over the Atlanta Hawks. As a team, the Pacers are above-average in field goal percentage (47.3 percent), 2-point percentage (53.9 percent) and free throw percentage (79.1 percent), and the Wizards allow the second-most free throw attempts (25.4 per game) in the NBA defensively.
On the other end, Indiana is No. 1 in the NBA in blocked shots, averaging 6.4 per game, with top-five marks in steals (8.5 per game) and 3-pointers allowed (11.6 per game). Washington is just 28th in the NBA in 3-point field goals, converting just 10.2 per game this season.
How to make Pacers vs. Wizards picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 246 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacers vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.