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USATSI

Will Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence really fall all the way to No. 5 in the actual NFL Draft? Probably not. The issue is that, without projecting trades, and teams that already have a quarterback in place at the top of the draft order, it creates a bit of a slide for Lawrence. Ryan Wilson said the same thing earlier this week in his mock draft. What makes it even more challenging is that two of the best talents available play positions that would not typically be selected at the top of the first round anymore.

There are two ways to look at this weird dynamic: 1. the draft order will appropriately work itself out in time, and 2. it could lead to big trades, which is always exciting for fans. But, for now, we play the hand dealt. 

The draft order below was determined using SportsLine's reverse Super Bowl odds following Sunday's Week 1 action. It is not personal bias against your team. 

Let's kick this off!

NFL Mock Draft
Round 1
Round 1 - Pick 1
Oregon • Jr • 6'6" / 330 lbs
Projected Team
Cincinnati
PROSPECT RNK
2nd
POSITION RNK
1st
If the top of the draft order pans out this way, then fans should expect lots of trades by teams looking to move up and secure a quarterback. Cincinnati has Jonah Williams at left tackle and I really liked him as a prospect. However, their primary objective has to be protecting Joe Burrow and Bobby Hart is not helping. The Bengals could flip Williams to right tackle or move him inside. Micah Parsons would also be an option but it is difficult envisioning an off-ball linebacker being the No. 1 overall selection.
Round 1 - Pick 2
Miami (FL) • Soph • 6'7" / 265 lbs
Projected Team
N.Y. Jets
PROSPECT RNK
10th
POSITION RNK
1st
Honestly, No. 2 overall is a little rich for my blood when it comes to Rousseau. He has a lot to left to prove, and that is difficult considering he will not be playing this fall. New York is desperate for pass rush help. Again, Parsons would be an option but the whole off-ball thing.
Round 1 - Pick 3
LSU • Jr • 6'1" / 200 lbs
Projected Team
Miami
PROSPECT RNK
4th
POSITION RNK
1st
Teams should not take just any wide receiver at No. 3 overall these days. Chase is not just any wide receiver. He was arguably the top wide receiver prospect last year, consistently torching projected future first-round draft picks. Miami has a few good options with Devante Parker and Preston Williams but nothing has proven to be consistent to this point.
Round 1 - Pick 4
Alabama • Soph • 6'5" / 310 lbs
Projected Team
Jacksonville
PROSPECT RNK
15th
POSITION RNK
1st
Jacksonville has done a great job drafting defensive talent but they need to hold onto those players. The team has had Jalen Ramsey, Myles Jack, Yannick Ngakoue and some others a rung below on the ladder. Now, they have Josh Allen, and cornerback C.J. Henderson looks like he is about to become a star. If K'Lavon Chaisson pans out and they add Barmore up the middle, then the defense is starting to look promising again. I'm not against Parsons here either.
Round 1 - Pick 5
Clemson • Jr • 6'6" / 220 lbs
Projected Team
Carolina
PROSPECT RNK
1st
POSITION RNK
1st
The offense is certainly not the issue for Carolina this season. However, teams do not pass on a good, young quarterback prospect in favor of a veteran quarterback on his third team. Teddy Bridgewater has had some unfortunate situations work against him in his career and then he spent two seasons backing up Drew Brees. I do not believe he is a bad quarterback but the Panthers must plan for the future.
Round 1 - Pick 6
Penn State • Jr • 6'3" / 244 lbs
Projected Team
Washington
PROSPECT RNK
3rd
POSITION RNK
1st
Washington now gets to add Parsons behind the terrorizing defensive front that we witnessed Sunday? Sign me up.
Round 1 - Pick 7
Miami (FL) • Sr • 6'3" / 245 lbs
Projected Team
N.Y. Giants
PROSPECT RNK
29th
POSITION RNK
3rd
It might be a little soon for Roche but his ability to dip his shoulders around the edge is up there with the best in the class. His profile is only going to increase while at Miami. The Giants need some edge help.
Round 1 - Pick 8
Florida State • Sr • 6'5" / 305 lbs
Projected Team
Detroit
PROSPECT RNK
61st
POSITION RNK
2nd
Danny Shelton is clogging up the middle for now but Detroit's fascination with Derrick Brown leads me to believe that they know there is room for upgrade at that position. The only question is, will Matt Patricia or Bob Quinn be around to make the selection?
Round 1 - Pick 9
Alabama • Sr • 6'3" / 240 lbs
Projected Team
Miami
PROSPECT RNK
20th
POSITION RNK
2nd
Jerome Baker was all over the field this weekend against the Patriots. Besides a few penalties against him, he was fantastic. The rest of that group could use an infusion of talent. Moses missed all of last season with a torn ACL so there is a lot to glean about how he will recover. For now, he is an enticing option for Miami.
Round 1 - Pick 10
Ohio State • Jr • 6'3" / 228 lbs
Projected Team
Las Vegas
PROSPECT RNK
5th
POSITION RNK
2nd
Las Vegas' confidence in Derek Carr is the key here. If they believe in him -- he did do some good things against the Panthers -- then they could go interior offensive line here. The opportunity to select Fields is one that would raise the ceiling for expectations.
Round 1 - Pick 11
Virginia Tech • Jr • 6'2" / 207 lbs
Projected Team
Denver
PROSPECT RNK
11th
POSITION RNK
1st
Michael Ojemudia was asked to play a significant amount against Tennessee. The team also lost veteran A.J. Bouye to an injury. Farley is not playing this season but his talent warrants an early selection.
Round 1 - Pick 12
Trey Lance QB
North Dakota State • Soph • 6'4" / 226 lbs
Projected Team
Cleveland
PROSPECT RNK
7th
POSITION RNK
3rd
Baker Mayfield has the ability to be successful. It is all in his hands. He continues to overthink the game and scramble when there is no need. Or, he will ignore his checkdowns for a potential bigger play down the field. If he does not show growth by the end of the season, and Cleveland is in a position to take a quarterback early, I could see the team doing it. Now that I've said it out loud, Mayfield will probably look awesome on Thursday Night Football against the Bengals.
Round 1 - Pick 13
Oklahoma • Jr • 6'5" / 307 lbs
Projected Team
Atlanta
PROSPECT RNK
27th
POSITION RNK
3rd
Alex Mack, 34, has entered the final year of his contract. Atlanta could elect to get out in front of this and draft his replacement.
Round 1 - Pick 14
Dillon Radunz T
North Dakota State • Sr • 6'6" / 299 lbs
Projected Team
Minnesota
PROSPECT RNK
32nd
POSITION RNK
4th
There is seemingly zero confidence in Minnesota's left tackle. The team nearly allowed him to walk before the season. Ezra Cleveland was drafted in April, and I do like him, but the possibility of solidifying the edges with the addition of Radunz is enticing.
Round 1 - Pick 15
Alabama • Sr • 6'6" / 312 lbs
Projected Team
L.A. Chargers
PROSPECT RNK
47th
POSITION RNK
6th
Los Angeles is built to run the football right now so it makes sense to get a mauler in the run game. The Chargers would have left tackle and right tackle answered for the immediate future of the team.
Round 1 - Pick 16
Ohio State • Soph • 6'4" / 313 lbs
Projected Team
Chicago
PROSPECT RNK
6th
POSITION RNK
1st
Wyatt Davis would have likely been a first-round selection in 2020. Although he opted out before the Big Ten's decision to return to play, it sounds like Davis will be allowed to play for the Buckeyes one last time.
Round 1 - Pick 17
Ohio State • Jr • 6'1" / 195 lbs
Projected Team
Tennessee
PROSPECT RNK
23rd
POSITION RNK
3rd
Shaun Wade worked out of the slot last year with Damon Arnette and Jeff Okudah in the boundary. Wade shows all of the traits to successfully convert outside. Tennessee has a rock solid future in the secondary with Adoree Jackson, Kevin Byard and Wade. Time will tell if Kristian Fulton is included.
Round 1 - Pick 18
Alabama • Jr • 6'1" / 175 lbs
Projected Team
Philadelphia
PROSPECT RNK
9th
POSITION RNK
3rd
Philadelphia will move on from Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson when they get the chance. The first step towards revamping the position came five months ago when they selected Jalen Reagor in the first round. The process continues in 2021.
Round 1 - Pick 19
Florida • Jr • 6'6" / 240 lbs
Projected Team
Indianapolis
PROSPECT RNK
14th
POSITION RNK
1st
Indianapolis moved on from Eric Ebron and signed Trey Burton to pair with Jack Doyle. The Colts get a bit more dynamic by adding the young star out of Gainesville.
Round 1 - Pick 20
Georgia • Soph • 6'2" / 185 lbs
Projected Team
Pittsburgh
PROSPECT RNK
55th
POSITION RNK
10th
Joe Haden is getting up there in age and Steven Nelson could easily be replaced. Pittsburgh has a great defense so just imagine adding a talent like Campbell in the first round.
Round 1 - Pick 21
Oregon • Jr • 6'1" / 201 lbs
Projected Team
Jacksonville
PROSPECT RNK
17th
POSITION RNK
1st
Holland is a smart player and a good communicator. Ronnie Harrison is gone from that squad so the door is open for some new blood. The Oregon product is a bit polarizing so far but count me in his corner.
Round 1 - Pick 22
Tennessee • Sr • 6'6" / 330 lbs
Projected Team
Arizona
PROSPECT RNK
16th
POSITION RNK
2nd
Right tackle could be an issue in Arizona. The hope is that Josh Jones takes on the role. By picking Smith, you add a dominant interior offensive lineman to a young nucleus led by Kyler Murray.
Round 1 - Pick 23
Alabama • Jr • 5'10" / 182 lbs
Projected Team
New England
PROSPECT RNK
19th
POSITION RNK
5th
The N'Keal Harry experiment has not yet gone as planned for New England so there could be some hesitancy from Bill Belichick to select another receiver early. The truth is, the Patriots have not done a good job of drafting since Scott Pioli was around. Waddle gives them a shifty, vertical threat.
Round 1 - Pick 24
Purdue • Soph • 5'9" / 180 lbs
Projected Team
Green Bay
PROSPECT RNK
12th
POSITION RNK
4th
Davante Adams had an astonishing 17 targets in Week 1. Marquez Valdes-Scantling looked much improved. The Packers give off the vibe of wanting to run the ball heavily but the idea of pairing these pass catchers with the Aaron Rodgers we saw against the Vikings is exciting.
Round 1 - Pick 25
Alabama • Jr • 6'2" / 203 lbs
Projected Team
Dallas
PROSPECT RNK
13th
POSITION RNK
2nd
Dallas made the right decision by taking CeeDee Lamb in the first round. Take the best player on the board if you have the quarterback position solved. As luck would have it, the board sets up where the best player available also comes at a position of need for the Cowboys.
Round 1 - Pick 26
Missouri • Jr • 6'0" / 232 lbs
Projected Team
Buffalo
PROSPECT RNK
60th
POSITION RNK
5th
Tremaine Edmunds is a star. Tre'Davious White is a star. Ed Oliver has the resume of a star. Buffalo continues to play all of the right chords. By adding Bolton, they get another playmaker at the second level to allow that defense to play faster. If A.J. Epenesa becomes what I think he will become, the Bills are going to be nasty (in a good way) on that side of the ball.
Round 1 - Pick 27
Clemson • Sr • 5'10" / 205 lbs
Projected Team
Tampa Bay
PROSPECT RNK
22nd
POSITION RNK
1st
Does anyone believe adding Leonard Fournette and LeSean McCoy fulfills Tampa Bay's desires at running back? I don't. Sure, RoJo did some good things but he has had two years to grasp that role. Running back is a position where we have seen rookies flourish so it is not like there is a steep acclimation period. Truthfully, I'm not sure that Etienne offers all that the Buccaneers need yet. He is a placeholder in the sense that I would not be surprised if they took a running back.
Round 1 - Pick 28
Ohio State • Jr • 6'3" / 248 lbs
Projected Team
N.Y. Jets
PROSPECT RNK
39th
POSITION RNK
3rd
I am a big Browning fan. Thankfully, the Big Ten will play this fall and he will be able to assert himself as a likely first-round pick.
Round 1 - Pick 29
Stanford • Sr • 6'1" / 192 lbs
Projected Team
San Francisco
PROSPECT RNK
64th
POSITION RNK
15th
San Francisco could theoretically replace one Stanford cornerback (Richard Sherman) with another. Adebo is a smart player that consistently produces. Teams never go broke taking a profit.
Round 1 - Pick 30
Florida State • Sr • 6'4" / 220 lbs
Projected Team
Baltimore
PROSPECT RNK
35th
POSITION RNK
2nd
There is nothing bad to say about the Baltimore front seven or their cornerbacks. It's a really good group. The safeties are not bad either honestly. Nasirildeen would take them to another level with his length and rangy cover skills. The other direction I could see them going in is interior offensive line.
Round 1 - Pick 31
Penn State • Jr • 6'5" / 259 lbs
Projected Team
New Orleans
PROSPECT RNK
18th
POSITION RNK
2nd
There is an opportunity for New Orleans to take a playmaker here. It may not be a tight end, although a great one is available, but it should be someone capable of catching the ball. Ohio State wide receiver Chris Olave and Minnesota wide receiver Rashod Bateman would be a few other tantalizing options.
Round 1 - Pick 32
Michigan • Soph • 6'1" / 232 lbs
Projected Team
Kansas City
PROSPECT RNK
50th
POSITION RNK
3rd
Kansas City added Willie Gay Jr. and that should pay off immensely down the road. If they can continue adding young pieces on that side of the ball, and maybe replace a few high-priced veterans, they should be in position for sustained success.