Will Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence really fall all the way to No. 5 in the actual NFL Draft? Probably not. The issue is that, without projecting trades, and teams that already have a quarterback in place at the top of the draft order, it creates a bit of a slide for Lawrence. Ryan Wilson said the same thing earlier this week in his mock draft. What makes it even more challenging is that two of the best talents available play positions that would not typically be selected at the top of the first round anymore.
There are two ways to look at this weird dynamic: 1. the draft order will appropriately work itself out in time, and 2. it could lead to big trades, which is always exciting for fans. But, for now, we play the hand dealt.
The draft order below was determined using SportsLine's reverse Super Bowl odds following Sunday's Week 1 action. It is not personal bias against your team.
Let's kick this off!
Round 1 - Pick 1
Penei Sewell OL
Oregon • Jr • 6'6" / 330 lbs
If the top of the draft order pans out this way, then fans should expect lots of trades by teams looking to move up and secure a quarterback. Cincinnati has Jonah Williams at left tackle and I really liked him as a prospect. However, their primary objective has to be protecting Joe Burrow and Bobby Hart is not helping. The Bengals could flip Williams to right tackle or move him inside. Micah Parsons would also be an option but it is difficult envisioning an off-ball linebacker being the No. 1 overall selection.
Round 1 - Pick 2
Miami (FL) • Soph • 6'7" / 265 lbs
Honestly, No. 2 overall is a little rich for my blood when it comes to Rousseau. He has a lot to left to prove, and that is difficult considering he will not be playing this fall. New York is desperate for pass rush help. Again, Parsons would be an option but the whole off-ball thing.
Round 1 - Pick 3
LSU • Jr • 6'1" / 200 lbs
Teams should not take just any wide receiver at No. 3 overall these days. Chase is not just any wide receiver. He was arguably the top wide receiver prospect last year, consistently torching projected future first-round draft picks. Miami has a few good options with Devante Parker and Preston Williams but nothing has proven to be consistent to this point.
Round 1 - Pick 4
Alabama • Soph • 6'5" / 310 lbs
Jacksonville has done a great job drafting defensive talent but they need to hold onto those players. The team has had Jalen Ramsey, Myles Jack, Yannick Ngakoue and some others a rung below on the ladder. Now, they have Josh Allen, and cornerback C.J. Henderson looks like he is about to become a star. If K'Lavon Chaisson pans out and they add Barmore up the middle, then the defense is starting to look promising again. I'm not against Parsons here either.
Round 1 - Pick 5
Clemson • Jr • 6'6" / 220 lbs
The offense is certainly not the issue for Carolina this season. However, teams do not pass on a good, young quarterback prospect in favor of a veteran quarterback on his third team. Teddy Bridgewater has had some unfortunate situations work against him in his career and then he spent two seasons backing up Drew Brees. I do not believe he is a bad quarterback but the Panthers must plan for the future.
Round 1 - Pick 7
Quincy Roche DL
Miami (FL) • Sr • 6'3" / 245 lbs
It might be a little soon for Roche but his ability to dip his shoulders around the edge is up there with the best in the class. His profile is only going to increase while at Miami. The Giants need some edge help.
Round 1 - Pick 8
Florida State • Sr • 6'5" / 305 lbs
Danny Shelton is clogging up the middle for now but Detroit's fascination with Derrick Brown leads me to believe that they know there is room for upgrade at that position. The only question is, will Matt Patricia or Bob Quinn be around to make the selection?
From Houston Texans
Round 1 - Pick 9
Dylan Moses LB
Alabama • Sr • 6'3" / 240 lbs
Jerome Baker was all over the field this weekend against the Patriots. Besides a few penalties against him, he was fantastic. The rest of that group could use an infusion of talent. Moses missed all of last season with a torn ACL so there is a lot to glean about how he will recover. For now, he is an enticing option for Miami.
Round 1 - Pick 10
Ohio State • Jr • 6'3" / 228 lbs
Las Vegas' confidence in Derek Carr is the key here. If they believe in him -- he did do some good things against the Panthers -- then they could go interior offensive line here. The opportunity to select Fields is one that would raise the ceiling for expectations.
Round 1 - Pick 11
Caleb Farley DB
Virginia Tech • Jr • 6'2" / 207 lbs
Michael Ojemudia was asked to play a significant amount against Tennessee. The team also lost veteran A.J. Bouye to an injury. Farley is not playing this season but his talent warrants an early selection.
Round 1 - Pick 12
Baker Mayfield has the ability to be successful. It is all in his hands. He continues to overthink the game and scramble when there is no need. Or, he will ignore his checkdowns for a potential bigger play down the field. If he does not show growth by the end of the season, and Cleveland is in a position to take a quarterback early, I could see the team doing it. Now that I've said it out loud, Mayfield will probably look awesome on Thursday Night Football against the Bengals.
Round 1 - Pick 14
There is seemingly zero confidence in Minnesota's left tackle. The team nearly allowed him to walk before the season. Ezra Cleveland was drafted in April, and I do like him, but the possibility of solidifying the edges with the addition of Radunz is enticing.
Round 1 - Pick 15
Alabama • Sr • 6'6" / 312 lbs
Los Angeles is built to run the football right now so it makes sense to get a mauler in the run game. The Chargers would have left tackle and right tackle answered for the immediate future of the team.
Round 1 - Pick 16
Wyatt Davis OL
Ohio State • Soph • 6'4" / 313 lbs
Wyatt Davis would have likely been a first-round selection in 2020. Although he opted out before the Big Ten's decision to return to play, it sounds like Davis will be allowed to play for the Buckeyes one last time.
Round 1 - Pick 17
Shaun Wade CB
Ohio State • Jr • 6'1" / 195 lbs
Shaun Wade worked out of the slot last year with Damon Arnette and Jeff Okudah in the boundary. Wade shows all of the traits to successfully convert outside. Tennessee has a rock solid future in the secondary with Adoree Jackson, Kevin Byard and Wade. Time will tell if Kristian Fulton is included.
Round 1 - Pick 18
Alabama • Jr • 6'1" / 175 lbs
Philadelphia will move on from Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson when they get the chance. The first step towards revamping the position came five months ago when they selected Jalen Reagor in the first round. The process continues in 2021.
Round 1 - Pick 20
From Los Angeles Rams
Round 1 - Pick 21
Oregon • Jr • 6'1" / 201 lbs
Holland is a smart player and a good communicator. Ronnie Harrison is gone from that squad so the door is open for some new blood. The Oregon product is a bit polarizing so far but count me in his corner.
Round 1 - Pick 22
Round 1 - Pick 23
Alabama • Jr • 5'10" / 182 lbs
The N'Keal Harry experiment has not yet gone as planned for New England so there could be some hesitancy from Bill Belichick to select another receiver early. The truth is, the Patriots have not done a good job of drafting since Scott Pioli was around. Waddle gives them a shifty, vertical threat.
Round 1 - Pick 24
Purdue • Soph • 5'9" / 180 lbs
Davante Adams had an astonishing 17 targets in Week 1. Marquez Valdes-Scantling looked much improved. The Packers give off the vibe of wanting to run the ball heavily but the idea of pairing these pass catchers with the Aaron Rodgers we saw against the Vikings is exciting.
Round 1 - Pick 25
Alabama • Jr • 6'2" / 203 lbs
Dallas made the right decision by taking CeeDee Lamb in the first round. Take the best player on the board if you have the quarterback position solved. As luck would have it, the board sets up where the best player available also comes at a position of need for the Cowboys.
Round 1 - Pick 26
Nick Bolton LB
Missouri • Jr • 6'0" / 232 lbs
Tremaine Edmunds is a star. Tre'Davious White is a star. Ed Oliver has the resume of a star. Buffalo continues to play all of the right chords. By adding Bolton, they get another playmaker at the second level to allow that defense to play faster. If A.J. Epenesa becomes what I think he will become, the Bills are going to be nasty (in a good way) on that side of the ball.
Round 1 - Pick 27
Clemson • Sr • 5'10" / 205 lbs
Does anyone believe adding Leonard Fournette and LeSean McCoy fulfills Tampa Bay's desires at running back? I don't. Sure, RoJo did some good things but he has had two years to grasp that role. Running back is a position where we have seen rookies flourish so it is not like there is a steep acclimation period. Truthfully, I'm not sure that Etienne offers all that the Buccaneers need yet. He is a placeholder in the sense that I would not be surprised if they took a running back.
Round 1 - Pick 29
Stanford • Sr • 6'1" / 192 lbs
San Francisco could theoretically replace one Stanford cornerback (Richard Sherman) with another. Adebo is a smart player that consistently produces. Teams never go broke taking a profit.
Round 1 - Pick 30
Florida State • Sr • 6'4" / 220 lbs
There is nothing bad to say about the Baltimore front seven or their cornerbacks. It's a really good group. The safeties are not bad either honestly. Nasirildeen would take them to another level with his length and rangy cover skills. The other direction I could see them going in is interior offensive line.
Round 1 - Pick 31
Penn State • Jr • 6'5" / 259 lbs
There is an opportunity for New Orleans to take a playmaker here. It may not be a tight end, although a great one is available, but it should be someone capable of catching the ball. Ohio State wide receiver Chris Olave and Minnesota wide receiver Rashod Bateman would be a few other tantalizing options.
Round 1 - Pick 32
Michigan • Soph • 6'1" / 232 lbs
Kansas City added Willie Gay Jr. and that should pay off immensely down the road. If they can continue adding young pieces on that side of the ball, and maybe replace a few high-priced veterans, they should be in position for sustained success.