We are entering 2021 NFL Draft on Thursday with two expectations: Trevor Lawrence to the Jacksonville Jaguars at No. 1 overall and the New York Jets picking Zach Wilson at No. 2 overall. After that, no one has a damn clue.
Every insider has admitted that this draft has the makings of being more bananas than any draft we've ever seen, for obvious reasons. So let's go with one surprise pick for every selection in the first round on Thursday night.
It's the final Mock Draft Monday before the real draft, and our draft experts simulated all 32 first-round picks; check it out by listening to the Pick Six Podcast below and be sure to follow for daily NFL goodness.
(Note: These 32 picks correspond with each pick in the first round, but this isn't a mock draft, therefore players can be used more than once.)
Round 1 - Pick 1
Round 1 - Pick 2
The same is true -- to an even crazier degree -- for the Jets. Everyone just expected them to pick Zach Wilson early on in the process. What if GM Joe Douglas and new head coach Robert Saleh like Fields more?
Round 1 - Pick 4
At this point, everyone expects the Falcons to pick Kyle Pitts. If he's not the pick, it feels like Atlanta would trade back. A few weeks ago, no one was counting out a quarterback, but they thought it'd either be Justin Fields or Trey Lance. Where's the Jones love?
Round 1 - Pick 5
Round 1 - Pick 6
Round 1 - Pick 9
Penn State • 6'3" / 248 lbs
Quarterback for the Broncos, right? Well, what if they can't trade up for one, or the guy they like isn't there at No. 9 overall? Parsons has become somewhat of an enigma among the consensus first-round picks. Denver could use linebacker help.
Round 1 - Pick 10
THERE'S NO WAY THE COWBOYS PICK OFFENSE IN ROUND 1! Crazier things have happened in the draft. Their offensive line is aging, and keeping Dak Prescott healthy is worth more than any defensive player.
Round 1 - Pick 11
Alabama • 6'5" / 310 lbs
For once, Dave Gettleman isn't flat-out telling us who he's going to pick. But everyone thinks it'll either be a wide receiver -- if one of the three elite prospects falls there, even after the Kenny Golladay signing -- or an offensive linemen for Daniel Jones. That makes a classic Gettleman pick -- a defensive tackle -- the most surprising pick for the G-Men this year.
Round 1 - Pick 12
Jamin Davis LB
Kentucky • 6'4" / 234 lbs
The Eagles have a million holes, so it'll likely be a true "best player available" situation. And Davis' name has been hot for a few weeks now. Most would be surprised if the Eagles went with Davis over Micah Parsons, the more household name.
Round 1 - Pick 13
Caleb Farley CB
Virginia Tech • 6'2" / 197 lbs
Had Farley not had another back injury, this wouldn't be crazy whatsoever. But the hyper-talented cornerback is on the mend, and many believe the Chargers have to -- and will -- go offensive tackle here.
Round 1 - Pick 14
This would be a stunner for two reasons. Jones "falling" all the way to No. 14 is one. Another has two parts -- the Vikings not going offensive line or defensive line here and going with a Kirk Cousins-esque quarterback instead of a higher-upside type.
Round 1 - Pick 17
Trey Lance QB
North Dakota State • 6'4" / 226 lbs
The Raiders have been sniffing around the quarterback market in this draft, and if they could land Jones -- probably would have to trade up to do it -- it'd be one of the largest surprises in Round 1.
Round 1 - Pick 19
Round 1 - Pick 20
Kwity Paye EDGE
Michigan • 6'3" / 265 lbs
The Bears are a dark-horse team to trade up for a quarterback, and if they stay at No. 20, cornerback seems most likely after moving on from Kyle Fuller this offseason. Given the ages of Khalil Mack and Robert Quinn, an edge rusher would represent a big surprise but wouldn't be a bad decision.
Round 1 - Pick 21
Florida State • 5'10" / 180 lbs
The Colts need a left tackle, could use more receiving talent, and quietly have a cornerback need. Going Samuel Jr. over some of the longer corners would raise some eyebrows but low-key would be a fantastic pick.
Round 1 - Pick 22
Azeez Ojulari EDGE
Georgia • 6'3" / 240 lbs
Before free agency, edge rusher was the trendiest mock draft position for the Titans. After they signed Bud Dupree, most moved away from that. The Titans pass rush is far from set though. Going Ojulari would be sensible but surprising.
Round 1 - Pick 23
The Jets need more offensive skill position talent, even after the Corey Davis and Keelan Cole additions. No one has really thought of Moore as a potential supplement to (or replacement of) Jamison Crowder with Gang Green.
Round 1 - Pick 25
Oklahoma State • 6'6" / 320 lbs
The Jaguars should prioritize the improvement of their offensive line early in the draft. Jenkins would represent a surprise because they like 2019 second-round pick Jawann Taylor at right tackle and Jenkins would have to move to the left side to compete with Cam Robinson.
Round 1 - Pick 26
Florida • 6'0" / 193 lbs
Gotta be a linebacker or some other player on defense for the Browns. Right. Right?! Not necessarily. Both Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry have hit the 30-year-old mark, and Toney is an athletic offensive weapon.
Round 1 - Pick 27
Round 1 - Pick 28
Round 1 - Pick 30
Notre Dame • 6'2" / 221 lbs
After locking up Matt Milano and with Tremaine Edmunds entering his fourth year in the NFL, linebacker seems unlikely for the Bills. But JOK is a true hybrid who would represent the future of that position -- and safety -- for Buffalo.