2013 NFL Mock Draft: Percy Harvin trade shakes everything up
In Will Brinson's latest 2013 NFL Mock Draft, he has a few shakeups up top, but still sees a lot of murkiness out there before free agency, even after the franchise tags were handed out.
Really glad I spent all last night and this morning working on my latest mock draft, you guys. Because not too long after publishing it, the Vikings decided to trade Percy Harvin to the Seahawks and blow everything up. C'est la vie, right?
Anyway, the Vikings, assuming Harvin passes his physical, will reportedly get Seattle's No. 1 pick in 2013, which means Minnesota will be picking 23rd and 25th. These picks are pretty critical, because not hitting on them after moving a playmaker like Harvin would be a bad look for GM Rick Spielman.
The deal could have some impact on the lower portion of the first round, too. Teams that need wideouts -- hello, St. Louis Rams -- might now be less inclined to try and let a talented receiver they like fall, with Minnesota clearly in need of wide receivers and possessing plenty of ammunition to move up if necessary.
Maybe all of this changes if the Vikings go out and pick up a Greg Jennings or Mike Wallace in free agency. But for now, with the Harvin trade under our belt, we get a fresh look at the mock.
1. Kansas City Chiefs -- Eric Fisher, T, Central Michigan -- Perhaps the tagging of Branden Albert signified the Chiefs might move away from drafting an offensive lineman, but the release of Eric Winston pushed things back in the original direction of a tackle. An athletic, strong tackle who fits the profile of Joe Staley, Alex Smith's old cornerstone, remains the pick here.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars -- Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon -- The closer we get to the draft and the more we see the new Jags regime in action, the more I think they'll look to acquire a potential difference-maker on defense with two main characteristics: versatility and upside. Lucky for Jacksonville, several guys in this draft fit the bill. Jordan, who actually covered slot receivers quite a bit at Oregon, is about as versatile as it gets.
3. Oakland Raiders -- Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida -- Richard Seymour is out the door and it looks like Tommy Kelly could be gone as well, which will leave the Raiders just a bit thin on the interior of the defensive line. Floyd fills a need and gives Reggie McKenzie a playmaker in order to start rebuilding his defense.
4. Philadelphia Eagles -- Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama -- With Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie headed to free agency and Nnamdi Asomugha likely following suit if he won't take a pay cut, cornerback becomes an immediate area of need in Philly.
5. Detroit Lions -- Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M -- Gosder Cherilus is headed to free agency, Jeff Backus is no guarantee to return (instead of retiring) and Detroit's apparently considering Riley Reiff as a guard. Suffice it to say the Lions have a need at tackle. Joeckel fits that need nicely while also being an excellent talent.
6. Cleveland Browns -- Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia -- Word on the street is Jones' medicals checked out. That doesn't mean he's not still a fairly big risk with a high pick, but he's an absolute beast who can get after the quarterback. Perhaps a little small for a 3-4 outside linebacker in many spots, he'll fit nicely under new Browns defensive coordinator Ray Horton, a protege of Dick LeBeau.
7. Arizona Cardinals -- Chance Warmack, G, Alabama -- The Cards have plenty of issues and they could certainly use a tackle and a quarterback. But with the top-two tackles off the board and no real franchise quarterback sitting out there, former NFL guard and Arizona GM Steve Keim grabs a mauling guard in Warmack.
8. Buffalo Bills -- Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia -- There truly isn't a lock for a franchise quarterback out there, but Smith could step in and run new coach Doug Marrone's fast-paced offense from the get-go in Buffalo.
9. New York Jets -- Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU -- Everyone wants to peg the Jets for a skill-position guy, but how much college-drafting experience does John Idzik have? Is it possible Rex Ryan will keep running things in terms of the draft? And if so, couldn't that mean they go back to the defensive well? They need to anyway, and the upside-riddled Ansah could be a cog in Rex Ryan's scheme.
10. Tennessee Titans -- Jonathan Cooper, G, UNC -- Another guy helping run the show who knows how to play the guard position grabs another guard. Cooper helps boost the athleticism of the Titans offensive line
11. San Diego Chargers -- Lane Johnson, T, Oklahoma -- This is a pretty trendy pick in a lot of mock drafts and with good reason: Johnson's the third-best tackle in the draft and the Chargers probably aren't high enough to grab either Luke Joeckel or Eric Fisher. But they definitely need tackle help and unless Tom Telesco shores up the position in free agency it could very much be addressed here.
12. Miami Dolphins -- Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee -- This could certainly change if the Fins end up chasing every wideout on the market. They've re-signed Brian Hartline already and are reportedly the "lead dog" to chase Mike Wallace. (And, for some reason, might love Brandon Gibson, too.) I'll believe they're landing a premium free agent when I see it happen, so for now I'll give them the explosive Patterson.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- Xavier Rhodes, CB, FSU -- Even if the Bucs go out and sign a big-name free agent cornerback (or, ahem, trade for a bigger name) they're still going to need secondary help. Rhodes falling to them here would provide an immediate help in an area of need.
14. Carolina Panthers -- Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah -- Lotulelei's stock is very much in flux right now with his medicals, but given the noise that popped out at the combine about his heart issues, it's hard to project him in the top 10.
15. New Orleans Saints -- Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU -- No idea how Mingo fell this far in the latest rendition of my draft, but this is a pretty perfect fit: Saints fans get an LSU player and the team boosts its defense with a guy who could end up having the versatility to work all over Rob Ryan's defense.
16. St. Louis Rams -- Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas -- St. Louis is set to release veteran safety Quintin Mikell on Monday, which gives the Rams a prime area of need that Vaccarro can step in and fill from the get go.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers -- Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State -- I'm taking a mulligan on my previous pick of Damontre Moore, mainly because a certain Steelers homer won't leave me alone about that pick. Instead, we'll give Pittsburgh a big body in the middle to shore up its line moving forward.
18. Dallas Cowboys -- Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri -- Dallas is making the move to the 4-3 defense and needs someone to occupy blockers. Richardson can do just that and allow Anthony Spencer and DeMarcus Ware to get loose.
19. New York Giants -- Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State -- A precipitous slip for the German, but the Giants don't mind. With Osi Umenyiora on his way out and Justin Tuck no sure thing to be back soon, they need to get another pass rusher in the fold before their biggest strength suddenly becomes a weakness.
20. Chicago Bears -- D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama -- It'll be interesting to see how much I change up this pick after free agency; there's a ton of tackles on the market and the Bears could choose to go in a different direction. But surely they understand the importance of protecting Jay Cutler by now.
21. Cincinnati Bengals -- Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia -- Totally playing into a stereotype here, but the Bengals aren't scared to get some value out of a player who falls because of off-field concerns. This would allow Marvin Lewis to move Vontaze Burfict to middle linebacker and not sweat Rey Maualuga's departure.
22. St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins) -- Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia -- Was quite tempted to give Austin to Jeff Fisher and Les Snead with the 16th pick, because what's the point of messing around? But with Vaccarro there, they've got a couple options at wideout when it comes to their next pick. The biggest concern should be someone trading up in between the two picks.
23. Minnesota Vikings -- Keenan Allen, WR, California -- With Harvin gone and no guarantees in free agency, the Vikes have to grab some talent at wideout. I had them taking Allen in my last mock and could very well continue to do so until Allen works out in Greensboro, N.C., in April. If he kills it there and shows he's healthy, he might not make it this far.
24. Indianapolis Colts -- Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington -- There are a bunch of different ways the Colts could go with this pick, but it almost assuredly needs to be on defense. They picked up Vontae Davis via trade before 2012, but unless they make a major move in the corner department Trufant falling to them is a pretty good match, particularly if they get aggressive in free agency when it comes to pass rushers.
25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle Seahawks) -- Manti Te'o, LB, Notre Dame -- Let's be clear: This isn't the way I would go, but I could see it happening. The Vikings seem to have an affinity for Notre Dame players lately, I have a new hole in my mock, Manti's getting plenty of first-round love (and/or press) and the Vikes have a need at linebacker. Plus, they'd basically be creating something out of nothing. Yeah, I got jokes.
26. Green Bay Packers -- Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama -- Ted Thompson's used seven of his last nine draft picks on defense (the two others were tackle Bryan Bulaga and quarterback Aaron Rodgers). I think he does it again this year, nabbing Alabama's Williams; Green Bay doesn't necessarily draft for need so much as to fill a hole that will open up in a year or two. Williams' versatility is a bonus.
27. Houston Texans -- Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas State -- The Texans have needed a wide receiver opposite Andre Johnson for a while, but they haven't used a first-round pick on a wide receiver since ... Andre Johnson in 2003. Brown is a football player and the Texans have managed to grab those guys in the draft the last couple years.
28. Denver Broncos -- Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M -- Do I love putting Moore here instead? Nope, not really. But at some point, a team's gonna take a gamble on the guy. And with the Broncos potentially losing Elvis Dumervil to a salary issue, they can try and help fill the void this way.
29. New England Patriots -- Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State -- Another pick that could change depending on what New England does in free agency. If the Pats bring back Aqib Talib and/or sign another big-name cornerback, Banks might not make as much sense and I could see them potentially going for a big-speed wideout here.
30. Atlanta Falcons -- Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama -- Got a strong feeling that Steven Jackson could end up landing in Atlanta once free agency kicks off, so this is my last chance to drop the "CIRCLE BUTTON" (spin) on the Falcons roster. Don't you try to kill my dreams. (Also, I think the Falcons will be active on other fronts in free agency, so no position is a guarantee at this point.)
31. San Francisco 49ers -- John Jenkins, DL, Georgia -- The Niners saw what happened with their defense when Justin Smith went down and recognize the need to put some more meat on the defensive-line depth chart. Jenkins is a hawse. Yes, I said hawse.
32. Baltimore Ravens -- Kevin Minter, LB, LSU -- No, you will not see any Manti Te'o action here, even though I do agree the Ravens need to improve their linebacking corps and need to do it quickly. Minter helps them do just that.
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