2014 Super Bowl Odds: Turmoil up top for NFL powers

Can Tom Brady get the Patriots through the playoffs without Rob Gronkowski? (USATSI)
Can Tom Brady get the Patriots to the Super Bowl without Rob Gronkowski? (USATSI)

This is the time of the year when NFL teams are supposed to be rounding into shape, getting hot at the right time and prepping for the playoffs. Instead, things are kind of a mess up top.

The best example comes from Thursday night's Broncos-Chargers game, which has been incorporated below. The Broncos were 11-4 -- having moved up from their previous spot -- and tied with the Seahawks  until Thursday night. Now they're 3-1. Meanwhile, San Diego moved up from 75-1 to 50-1 on the heels of beating Peyton Manning and Co.

The biggest concern for the Broncos is their defense. They're still a top favorite, but you've got to consider Manning's semi-struggles and the Broncos inability to slow down the Chargers a pair of red flags moving forward.

Denver's not alone though. Seattle (11-4) just got beaten by the 49ers (8-1) in San Francisco, a firm reminder that those two teams are a lot more even than people like to admit sometimes. It matters big time where they're playing, and Seattle's a lot better at home, but they're a beatable team if you can play physical with them.

The Patriots (10-1) have a major problem with the loss of Rob Gronkowski. They'll still score points and are a near lock for a top seed and maybe even the No. 1 seed, if they can win out. But the offense won't be as dynamic and they won't be as dangerous in the red zone without Gronk.

The Panthers were manhandled by the Saints (8-1) in New Orleans. We'll learn a lot about them depending on how they bounce back against the Jets (300-1; no longer OFF???) and then in two weeks when they host the Saints. I'm worried about them against teams that can spread them out with multiple weapons and have a quarterback like Drew Brees who can get the ball out quickly. They turned Greg Hardy and Charles Johnson into a non factor.

Notable Movement

  • The Giants and Titans join a growing list of teams that are OFF.
  • The Chargers aren't a great bet at 50-1, honestly, even though they've got a shot at making the playoffs. They need a lot to happen and the Dolphins (66-1) and Ravens (50-1) are probably better bets to make the playoffs. Handling the Broncos was impressive though. Philip Rivers has beaten the Manning Bros in consecutive weeks. That ain't easy.
  • Look at the Eagles (28-1) flying! With the Cowboys (50-1) defense looking terrible against the Bears (50-1) on Monday night, the Eagles are a good bet to win that division. Chip Kelly is doing work.
  • Aaron Rodgers won't be back this week for the Packers (50-1) but if you like longshots they're a pretty good one. Beat the 'Boys, get Rodgers back and they're a sneaky NFC North division winner. There's a reason Vegas is moving them up the board quickly.
Odds via Bovada
Team Week 14  Odds
Week 15  Odds
Trend
Team Week 14  Odds
Week 15 Odds
Trend
Seahawks 5-2 11-4 Chargers
125-1 50-1*
Broncos 13-4 3-1* Cardinals
100-1 100-1
Saints 10-1 8-1 Jets
OFF 300-1
49ers 14-1 8-1 Steelers
125-1 300-1
Patriots 13-2 10-1 Giants
75-1 OFF
Bengals 20-1 16-1 Titans
250-1 OFF
Panthers 10-1 18-1 Redskins
OFF OFF
Chiefs 33-1 25-1 Falcons
OFF OFF
Eagles 33-1 28-1 Bills
OFF OFF
Colts 28-1 33-1 Browns
OFF OFF
Lions 25-1 40-1 Texans
OFF OFF
Ravens 50-1 50-1 Rams
OFF OFF
Bears 75-1 50-1 Raiders
OFF OFF
Cowboys 33-1 50-1 Vikings
OFF OFF
Packers 75-1 50-1 Buccaneers
OFF OFF
Dolphins 100-1 66-1 Jaguars
OFF OFF
CBS Sports Senior Writer

Will Brinson joined CBS Sports in 2010 and enters his seventh season covering the NFL for CBS. He previously wrote for FanHouse along with myriad other Internet sites. A North Carolina native who lives... Full Bio

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