2018 Pro Bowl odds: NFC vs. AFC picks from expert who is 59-29 on NFL totals

Jared Goff practices in Orlando for the upcoming Pro Bowl. USATSI

The NFL Pro Bowl is Sunday in Orlando, featuring many of the best players who aren't getting ready for the Super Bowl. It's a celebration of the game, a showcase of skills on both sides of the ball -- and it usually features one touchdown after another.

Vegas has set the Over-Under for the 2018 Pro Bowl at 67.5, which is down from an open of 71. The total had dropped all the way to the mid-60s before rebounding, but that's still over 20 points higher than the season average of 43 points. The NFC is favored by three.

To assess the total, especially one that's had so much movement already, there's no better person to get advice from than Mike Tierney.

The SportsLine expert has a gift for picking NFL totals. A national sportswriter who has reported from seven Super Bowls, Tierney excels both against the spread and straight-up, but he's as good as it gets when it comes to placing Over-Under bets.

Over the last two NFL seasons, Tierney is an incredible 52-29 on NFL totals -- $100 bettors are up over $2,000 on his Over-Under picks alone.

He nailed the NFC Championship last Sunday by taking the Over and now Tierney has found a few big reasons to take a side on the Over-Under for the Pro Bowl.

The Pro Bowl moved to Orlando from Honolulu last year, but the offense didn't get the note. The AFC won a defensive struggle 20-13, the lowest score since the 1993 season. 

Drew Brees was the only NFC quarterback to throw a touchdown last year in the Pro Bowl, while Andy Dalton and Alex Smith combined for just two for the AFC. Both teams were held below 50 yards rushing.

Last year was the third time in four years the Under cashed. Prior to that, the Over had nailed six of seven. 

In the 2016 Pro Bowl, which pitted Team Rice against Team Irvin, 76 points were scored, which would have cleared Sunday's total. Russell Wilson, Teddy Bridgewater, and Jameis Winston combined for seven touchdown passes for Team Irvin; each was completed to a different receiver.

All told, teams averaged 21.7 points per game during the NFL's regular season in 2017. That was the lowest output since the 21.5 average in 2009.

Tierney is leaning on the NFC to cover, but he knows there's a big x-factor you're not thinking about that determines which side of the total prevails. Visit SportsLine now to get Mike Tierney's big Pro Bowl Over-Under pick, all from the man on a blistering 52-29 streak on NFL totals.

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