2020 NFL odds, NFC North predictions, best bets, picks: Advanced model fading Packers
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated the entire 2020 NFL season 10,000 times.
The NFC North hasn't had a repeat winner since 2014, but the Green Bay Packers will look to end that drought in 2020. The Packers were the last team to capture consecutive division titles, winning four straight beginning in 2011, and are aiming for their seventh crown in 10 years after posting a 13-3 record last year.
Green Bay is a slight favorite to repeat, listed at +140 in the latest 2020 NFL odds to win the NFC North (risk $100 to win $140). Meanwhile, Minnesota Vikings (+150) are a close second in the current NFC North odds from William Hill. Before making any 2020 NFL predictions and divisional picks, be sure to check out the 2020 NFC North predictions and best bets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. Since its 2015 inception, the model is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks.
And when it comes to NFL win totals, the model is coming off another banner year. In 2019, it went 18-11 on its over-under picks, with three pushes.
The model's top 2020 NFC North predictions
The model says the Packers are overvalued at +140 in the latest 2020 NFL odds to capture the NFC North title and win the division in only 24.7 percent of simulations.
Despite passing for 4,002 yards with 26 touchdowns and just four interceptions in 2019, Aaron Rodgers had a sub-par year by his standards. The two-time NFL MVP posted a 95.4 passer rating, his second-lowest mark in 11 seasons, and threw for only 65 yards with two turnovers in the first half of the NFC Championship Game against San Francisco.
Green Bay's defense was much-improved last year and helped carry the team to its strong record, but it had trouble against the run and ranked 23rd in the NFL in that category (120.1 yards). This offseason, the unit got weaker and allowed Blake Martinez and B.J. Goodson to depart via free agency. The Packers attempted to fill the void by signing fellow linebacker Christian Kirksey, who was limited to nine games over the last two years with Cleveland due to injuries.
How to make 2020 NFC North picks
The model also says one NFC North team boasts a win probability that exceeds its implied odds. You can only see who it is, and the percent of the time each team wins the NFC North, over at SportsLine.
Which team is the best value in the NFC North odds 2020? And how often does every team win the division? Visit SportsLine right now to see projected win totals, divisional odds and playoff odds for every team in the NFC North, all from a proven model that crushed its NFL picks.
2020 NFC North title odds (via William Hill)
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