Sportsbooks hang hundreds of NFL futures odds every year, ranging from how many games each team will win, to odds to win the Super Bowl and each conference and division, to which team will finish with the best and worst record by the end of the year. Not only can interested fans place bets on who will win the MVP and other major NFL awards, but props are also widely available on who will lead the league in passing, rushing and receiving yards as well as other categories. Many players even have specific yardage over/unders associated with their performance.
We're here to help you break it all down and use data-driven analysis to determine where the value is in the market heading into the 2021 NFL season.
Contained in the SportsLine Pro Football 2021 Season Preview are odds and picks related to every team's win total, playoff chances and likelihood of winning its division, conference and Super Bowl. The odds come from Caesars Sportsbook, our partners at CBS Sports, as of the time of publication and are subject to change. The picks come from three sources: the SportsLine Projection Model, plus SportsLine experts R.J. White and Larry Hartstein.
Each team preview includes a primer on what you need to know heading into the 2021 season as well as a look at how that team's final 2020 win total and Pythagorean win total -- a number derived from the team's points scored and allowed figures rather than wins and losses -- translates to a 17-game season. Under Odds and Model Projections, you'll find the lines on each team's win total, make playoffs prop, and to win their division, conference and the Super Bowl. You'll also find what the SportsLine Projection Model simulates for each category, and where the value exists for each prop, per the model. Finally, you'll find White and Hartstein's picks on each win total, with "Like" signifying a strong opinion and "Lean" noting which side of the number they'd lean toward but without a strong opinion.
After the team previews, you'll be able to find the model's projections for all 32 teams in one place, with win totals, chances of winning the division and making the playoffs, and the model's raw neutral-field win percentage for each team. You'll also see the entire grid of conference title and Super Bowl odds in one place, along with best bets and value plays on the Super Bowl from White and Hartstein.
You can get the season preview guide delivered right to your inbox by entering your email below. So dig in and get ready for the 2021 season with SportsLine!
Super Bowl odds
Conference title odds
Division title odds
About SportsLine's model and experts
Developed by data scientist Stephen Oh, the renowned co-founder of AccuScore, the SportsLine Projection Model simulates every game 10,000 times. It uses advanced data and trends to find the best values on the spread, total and moneyline. The model hit 63.2% of all top-rated NFL picks during the 2020 NFL season. The model also beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick 'Em players.
R.J. White twice has cashed huge in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. In 2017 he tied for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. In 2015 he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. Over the past six years, White's SuperContest picks are 279-210-21 (57.1 percent). He shares those five weekly picks on SportsLine. Beyond his weekly SuperContest column, White consistently crushes the NFL: Along with ending the 2020 season as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert, he went 354-295-22 on ATS picks from 2017-20.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Entering the 2021 season, Hartstein is 351-291 all-time on NFL sides, including 326-280 ATS. Hartstein also dominates college basketball, going 245-193-8 ATS the past two seasons. He appears regularly on "The Early Edge," SportsLine's popular daily podcast hosted by Jonathan Coachman. Catch "The Early Edge" live at 10 a.m. ET on SportsLine's YouTube page.