The 2-0 Chicago Bears travel to face the 0-2 Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon. The Bears are coming off a 17-13 victory over the New York Giants, while the Falcons suffered a devastating 40-39 defeat against the Cowboys last week. Chicago is 10-4 in its last 14 meetings against Atlanta. However, the Bears are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games.
Kickoff for Bears vs. Falcons is set for 1 p.m. ET. Atlanta is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Bears odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 47. Before entering any Bears vs. Falcons picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 5-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 3 on an incredible 101-67 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Falcons vs. Bears spread: Falcons -2.5
- Falcons vs. Bears over-under: 47 points
- Falcons vs. Bears money line: Atlanta -140, Chicago +120
Why the Falcons can cover
The Falcons enter Sunday's showdown averaging 443 yards per game on offense, which ranks fourth in the NFL. Quarterback Matt Ryan is off to a sizzling start this season, completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 723 yards and six touchdowns. Last week against the Cowboys, Ryan threw for 273 yards and four touchdowns.
Wide receiver Calvin Ridley has been Ryan's favorite target through the first two weeks. Ridley has hauled in 16 receptions for 239 yards and four touchdowns thus far. Now, Ridley and Ryan will look to exploit a Chicago defense that's giving up an average of 254 yards per game through the air, which ranks in the bottom half of the NFL.
Why the Bears can cover
The Bears beat the New York Giants 17-13 this past Sunday. David Montgomery had 127 scrimmage yards and a TD catch. Mitchell Trubisky passed for 190 yards and two TDs and two INTs in Week 2. Allen Robinson is aiming for his fifth game in row on the road with 70-plus receiving yards.
Atlanta's offensive line will need to gear up for a tough test against a Chicago defensive front that amassed four sacks against the Giants. Khalil Mack had a sack and a fumble recovery against the Giants. Robert Quinn had a sack and a forced fumble.
How to make Bears vs. Falcons picks
SportsLine's model has simulated Falcons vs. Bears 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bears vs. Falcons? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Falcons spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 3 of the NFL season on an incredible 101-67 roll.