The New Orleans Saints have had a lot of success against the Chicago Bears at the Superdome and will look to continue that on Sunday when they meet in an NFC Wild Card matchup. The Saints (12-4) have won six of eight meetings with the Bears (8-8) at the Superdome. Of the 30 meetings between the teams, 15 have been decided by eight points or less, including seven of the last 10 matchups. Earlier this season, the Saints beat the Bears 26-23 in overtime at Soldier Field in Chicago.
Kickoff from New Orleans is set for 4:40 p.m. ET. Both teams have played well on special teams. Chicago is 10th in kickoff return average at 24.4, while New Orleans is sixth at 25.4. New Orleans is favored by 10.5-points in the latest Bears vs. Saints odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 48.5. Before making any Saints vs. Bears picks, check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 23-13 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 119-77 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Bears vs. Saints spread: Saints -10.5
- Bears vs. Saints over-under: 48.5 points
- Bears vs. Saints money line: Bears +450, Saints -600
- CHI: Bears were 6-3 in games started by QB Mitchell Trubisky
- NO: 8-7 in the NFL playoffs under coach Sean Payton
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans has a solid receiving corps, led by Michael Thomas, who has been out since Dec. 13 with an ankle injury. He was on injured reserve, but has been activated for Sunday's showdown. Thomas has 38 receptions for 493 yards (98.6 per game) and three touchdowns in five career postseason games. He had nine receptions for 131 yards in his last game against the Bears on Oct. 20, 2019. He is looking for his third game in a row against Chicago with seven or more catches for 75 or more receiving yards.
Also leading the Saints' aerial attack is wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders, who had 11 receptions for 98 yards and a touchdown catch in his last game against the Bears on Sept. 15, 2019, as a member of the Denver Broncos. He is one of three wide receivers with 500 or more yards in each of the last nine seasons. This year, Sanders has 61 receptions for 726 yards (11.9 average) and five touchdowns. He had seven explosive plays with 172 yards after the catch. He also converted 33 first downs.
Why the Bears can cover
Chicago opened and closed the season on a roll and is just the third team in league history to make the playoffs after enduring a six-game losing streak at some point during the regular season. The Bears are hoping wide receiver Darnell Mooney, their second-leading receiver is available to play after injuring his ankle last week against Green Bay. Mooney, who is listed as questionable, caught 61 passes for 631 yards (10.3 average) and four touchdowns this year. He had six explosive plays and converted 33 first downs.
Also playing a big part in the Bears' offense is tight end Jimmy Graham, who ranked second among NFC tight ends with eight receiving TDs in 2020. He had 386 receptions for 4,752 receiving yards and 51 touchdowns in five seasons with the Saints from 2010 to 2014. For the season, Graham was the fourth-leading receiver for Chicago with 50 receptions for 456 yards (9.1 average). He has four explosive plays and converted 32 first downs.
How to make Bears vs. Saints picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Trubisky will throw for over 200 yards and a touchdown, while New Orleans running backs will combine for more than 120 rushing yards and a score. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick here.
So who wins Bears vs. Saints in the NFL Playoffs 2021? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Saints spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,900 on its NFL picks over the past five seasons, and find out.