The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings square off twice annually, and the first matchup between the two rivals takes place in Week 10. This time, the Bears and Vikings will battle on Monday Night Football, with the game acting as a pivot point for both teams. Chicago arrives with three consecutive losses to fall to just 5-4 on the season. At the same time, Minnesota is on the upswing after back-to-back victories, but the Vikings are still just 3-5. 

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Minnesota as a 3.5-point road favorite, a swing of five points from the opener. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas expects to be scored, is 44 in the latest Bears vs. Vikings odds. Before making your Vikings vs. Bears picks, you need to check out the latest Monday Night Football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 16-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 10 on an incredible 112-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has broken down Bears vs. Vikings. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Vikings vs. Bears:

  • Bears vs. Vikings spread: Vikings -3.5
  • Bears vs. Vikings over-under: 44 points
  • Bears vs. Vikings money line: Vikings -180, Bears +160
  • MINN: Vikings are 5-3 against the spread in 2020
  • CHI: Under has hit in six of nine Bears games

Why the Vikings can cover

The Vikings haven't been as strong defensively in 2020 as in previous seasons, but there is reason for optimism. Minnesota is tied for the NFL lead with only five rushing touchdowns allowed all season.

The Vikings are also a top-five team in getting off the field on third down, allowing opponents to convert just 37.2 percent of the time.

Chicago is the worst rushing team in the NFL, ranking last in yards (83.2 per game) and touchdowns (two). The Bears are second-worst in yards per carry (3.7). In part due to those issues in generating an effective running game, Chicago is fourth-worst in the league in both scoring (19.8 points per game) and total offense (317.8 yards per game).

Why the Bears can cover

The Bears aren't a dynamic offensive team, but Minnesota's defensive issues could provide a runway for Chicago. The Vikings rank fourth-worst in the NFL in total defense, giving up 412.9 yards per game, and Minnesota is also the third-worst pass defense, allowing 287.9 yards per contest.

Bears quarterback Nick Foles is third-best in the NFL in completions (26.7 per game) and, with consistent pressure, the Vikings could let up in the secondary. In fact, the Vikings have allowed 19 passing touchdowns this season, third-most in the NFL, and Minnesota ranks in the bottom 10 in scoring defense at 29.3 points allowed per game. Foles also has a strong No. 1 option in Allen Robinson, with the veteran ranking in the top eight of the league in both receptions (57) and receiving yards (712).

How to make Bears vs. Vikings picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with Cook projected to rush for more than 100 total yards and Nick Foles projected to exceed his season-long passing averages. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get that pick here

So who wins Vikings vs. Bears on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hitting nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Vikings vs. Bears spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 112-74 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.