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USATSI

It'll be the Cincinnati Bengals and New York Jets squaring off for a Week 8 showdown at MetLife Stadium. Cincy has been the surprise team of this NFL season so far as it currently sits as the No. 1 seed in the conference and is fresh off a win over the Ravens where Joe Burrow and the offense dropped 41 points. As for the Jets, they were on the losing end of a blowout in Week 7 as they allowed the Patriots to put up 54 points at Gillette Stadium. That game also saw rookie quarterback Zach Wilson suffer a PCL injury that will keep him out of this contest and thrust Mike White in as the starter. 

Below, we'll specifically be looking at the different betting angles in this AFC head-to-head. Along with the spread and total, we'll also look at a couple of player props and hand in our picks for how we see this game going down. 

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch

Date: Sunday, Oct. 31 | Time: 1 p.m. ET
Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Bengals -10.5, O/U 43

Line movement

Latest Odds: New York Jets +11.5

This line moved pretty dramatically following the events of Week 7. This number originally opened at Bengals -3.5, but has skyrocketed to Bengals -10.5. The injury to Wilson certainly helped push that number in greater favor to the Bengals, but Cincinnati is also now getting the respect of an elite team in the AFC, especially after that convincing win over the Ravens where the defense allowed just 17 points. 

The pick: Bengals -10.5. This is a game with two teams going in entirely different directions. Cincinnati is poised to be in the thick of the playoff race for the rest of the season, while New York is likely looking at a top pick in the draft once again. While this is a lofty number, the Jets have a league-worst -15.8 average points differential this season, so not only are they losing, but they are losing big. Meanwhile, the Bengals average 6.2 yards per play this season, which is the third-highest in the NFL. It doesn't seem realistic that White will be able to keep up with that production on the other side. 

Key trend: Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. 

Over/Under total

This total has deep a considerable dip from the opening number of 45.5. Currently, the line is at 43 -- went as low as 42.5 -- and likely dropped following the injury to Wilson, forcing New York to start White, who had just experienced his first taste of NFL action last week. 

The pick: Under 43. This is admittedly a low number and the Bengals have shown us that they can get over this number themselves, but they may not have to on Sunday. If they gain a sizable lead, they could simply go into clock-management mode and bleed the game down en route to victory. Meanwhile, the Bengals and Jets ranked 27th and 28th in the NFL, respectfully, in plays per game. That means there will be limited scoring opportunities in what is pegged to be a slow-paced contest. 

Key trend: Under is 5-1 in the Bengals last six games. 

Player props to consider

Joe Burrow total passing yards: Over 260.5 (-115). Burrow has gone over this number in five of his seven games played this season, including four straight. The Jets are also giving the eighth-most passing yards in the league entering Week 8. 

Joe Mixon rushing attempts: Over 17.5 (-110). If the Bengals get out to a big enough lead, they will look to run the ball even more with Mixon, giving him plenty of opportunities in the second half to pile up carries. The Jets also rank 27th in the NFL in DVOA against the run, so this is a matchup where Cincy could utilize Mixon a ton.