The Arizona Cardinals are fourth in the NFL with an average of 32.3 points per game after topping 30 in five of their six games this season. The Houston Texans are near the bottom of the league in points allowed, tying for 25th with an average of 28.7, and have yielded at least 31 three times during their five-game losing streak. Arizona hopes to continue its offensive surge and remain undefeated when it hosts Houston on Sunday. The Cardinals are 18.5-point favorites in the latest Week 7 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and many will jump on them with their NFL survivor pool picks.

Other favorites that could attract attention for NFL knockout pool picks include the Los Angeles Rams (-15 against the Detroit Lions), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11.5 against the Chicago Bears) and Green Bay Packers (-8.5 against the Washington Football Team). Before making any Week 7 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,700 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-85 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format. The team winning the most model simulations each week is a perfect 6-0 after the Colts (81 percent) routed the Texans, joining the 49ers in Week 1 (75 percent), Buccaneers in Week 2 (79 percent), Cardinals and Ravens in Week 3 (79 percent), Bills in Week 4 (87 percent) and Patriots in Week 5 (78 percent) as winners for survivor contestants who used those teams over the first six weeks. You can only see who the model is backing in Week 7 at SportsLine.

Top Week 7 NFL survivor pool predictions

For Week 7, the model is shying away from the Kansas City Chiefs against the Tennessee Titans. The Chiefs have allowed nine rushing touchdowns thus far this season, second-most in the NFL, and now must find a way to keep Derrick Henry out of the end zone. Seeking his third straight rushing title, Henry is the league leader with 783 yards and has rushed for 10 scores, twice as many as any other player.

Henry also has led the NFL in rushing TDs each of the last two years and is on pace to break the single-season record of 28 set by LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006, the last year a player has run for 20 scores. The 27-year-old already has matched the all-time league mark of three games with at least 125 yards and three rushing touchdowns in a season and is the first to accomplish the feat since Shaun Alexander in 2005. Accordingly, the Titans are too dangerous for the model's projections this week.

How to make Week 7 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a team whose opponent can't score. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 8, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 7 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 7, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.