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The Week 4 NFL schedule concludes with a Monday Night Football doubleheader, starting with the Miami Dolphins hosting the New York Jets at 7:15 p.m. ET, and the Denver Broncos hosting the Cincinnati Bengals at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Dolphins have won 14 of 18 meetings between Miami and New York since the beginning of the 2016 NFL season, and that's a trend the SportsLine model projects to continue, making the Dolphins covering their 2.5-point spread one of the model's Monday Night Football best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook. The Jets and Dolphins are both winless at 0-3 this season, but a matchup against the Jets has been the best way to fix a losing skid for Miami in recent seasons.

The model also has the Broncos vs. Bengals going Over 44.5 points among its best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook. The Over has hit in back-to-back Bengals games, with both games featuring quarterback Jake Browning either starting or playing the majority of the contest for the Bengals, as he'll do on Monday with Joe Burrow (toe) out.  In another form of football, SportsLine expert Brandt Sutton is backing Valencia to defeat Real Oviedo on the 90-minute line at -150 odds at DraftKings in a 2 p.m. ET start in La Liga soccer action. Those picks can also be played in a parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook that pays out over 5-1.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model is on a sizzling 39-19 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Three Monday Night Football betting picks for NFL Week 4 (odds subject to change): 

  • Dolphins (-3) vs. Jets (-102)
  • Bengals vs. Broncos Over 44.5 (-105)
  • Valencia (-150) to defeat Real Oviedo on the 90-minute line

Combining the model's three picks into a Monday parlay at DraftKings would result in a payout of +530 (risk $100 to win $530).

Dolphins (-3) vs. Jets (-102, DraftKings)

The Jets defeated Miami in their most recent matchup last season in Aaron Rodgers' final game with the Jets, but New York is off to an 0-3 start without Rodgers this year. Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has never lost to the Jets, going 5-0 in his career against New York. He threw for 331 yards and two touchdowns in a 32-26 overtime victory in Miami against the Jets last season. The Dolphins won nine straight games in Miami, and with New York having the No. 29 scoring defense, allowing 31 points per game, the model projects Miami to win and cover the spread in 59% of simulations.

Broncos vs. Bengals Over 44.5 points (-105, DraftKings)

There have been exactly 58 points scored in each of the Bengals' last two games, going well Over the game over/under totals in each contest with Browning either starting or playing the majority of snaps in each contest. His five interceptions over two games show he's prone to mistakes and taking chances, which could lead to defensive or quick Denver scores. But he also threw for more than 320 yards in three of seven starts in 2023 when Burrow was injured, so he can create offense as well. Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins remain healthy, so Browning will have the same elite playmakers Burrow succeeded with. The Broncos have scored at least 20 points in all three games this season and are averaging 22.7 ppg this year. The model projects the Over to hit in 63% of simulations.

Valencia to defeat Real Oviedo on the 90-minute line (-150, DraftKings)

"Valencia enters this match unbeaten on home soil this season, recording shutout victories in their past two La Liga fixtures at Mestalla Stadium," SportsLine soccer expert Brandt Sutton said. "Oviedo, meanwhile, has lost five of their six league matches and has been shutout in their last two away fixtures. Oviedo is also coming off a 3-1 setback against Barcelona on Thursday, a game in which they conceded 80% of possession, so they could be dealing with heavy legs and fatigue against Valencia."