Will Bill Belichick smile for an eighth time this season? (USATSI)
Will Bill Belichick smile for an eighth time this season? (USATSI)

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Which Bill Belichick will we see Saturday night after the Patriots face the Colts in the AFC Divisional game? The simple answer is ... it depends. If New England wins (and they're favored by 7.5 points), there's a chance Bill cracks a smile. If New England loses, all we'll see are distant stares and terse responses sandwiched around plenty of frowns.

We mention this because a recent Wall Street Journal "study" found that in 114.5 minutes of post-game press conferences during the 2013 season, Belichick smiled a grand total of seven times. (Franky, that seems high.) That works out to one smile every 16 minutes.

You can view the evidence here.

The first smile came on Oct. 13 after the Pats' come-from-behind win over the Saints. The last two came on Dec. 29 following the teams' Week 17 win over the Bills.

As for the very first known Belichick smile, MassLive.com's Nick Underhill unearthed this:

As WSJ's Geoff Foster, who spent nearly two hours of his life watching Belichick pressers, notes: "The clearest takeaway from all this: Patriots losses are a complete no-smile zone. But if the Patriots go on to win the Super Bowl this season, we should get that eighth Belichick grin -- maybe."