The Buffalo Bills' offense has evolved over the last three weeks as the team has made a concerted effort to show that it's more than just Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Entering Thursday Night Football against the Patriots, Buffalo's three highest rushing totals have come in its last three games. Allen and Devin Singletary have been the biggest factors in the ground resurgence, but it's a Patriot whose rushing totals could be of most interest for NFL prop bets for TNF. Rhamondre Stevenson has been utilized more as a receiver in recent weeks, and his NFL player props for Patriots vs. Bills list his rushing yards at 61.5 at Caesars Sportsbook. Stevenson has gone under that in four of his last five games, but will Damien Harris' (thigh) absence make Stevenson more of a factor in the run game? Before betting any NFL props for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Patriots vs. Bills NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. The model enters Week 13 with a 48-37 record on NFL prop picks this season, returning well over $600 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
With Bills vs. Patriots on Thursday Night Football approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong NFL bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Patriots vs. Bills
After simulating Bills vs. Patriots 10,000 times and examining the dozens of player props from Caesars Sportsbook, the model says Bills receiver Stefon Diggs goes Over 82.5 receiving yards. Diggs ranks third in the NFL at 100.9 receiving yards per game, trailing just Tyreek Hill and Justin Jefferson. Hill and Jefferson have already faced the Patriots this year, with the former putting up 94 yards and the latter producing 139. Less accomplished wideouts like Allen Lazard and Garrett Wilson have 100-yard games against the Patriots this year, so Diggs should be able to continue the Pats' woes of defending top wideouts.
Diggs has faced the Patriots four times in the regular season since joining Buffalo and exceeded 82.5 yards in three of those games. The model projects 91 receiving yards from the Bills receiver on TNF. See more NFL props here.
How to make NFL player prop bets for New England vs. Buffalo
In addition, the model says another star sails past his yardage total and is all over a prop with a plus-money payout. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Patriots vs. Bills NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football.
Which Bills vs. Patriots prop bets should you target for Thursday Night Football? And which yardage prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Patriots vs. Bills props, all from the model that's up well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks.