The Los Angeles Chargers will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay is 2-1 overall and 1-0 at home, while the Chargers are 1-2 overall and 1-0 on the road. Tampa Bay is favored by seven points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Chargers odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 42.5. Before entering any Chargers vs. Buccaneers picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 7-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 4 on an incredible 103-67 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Buccaneers vs. Chargers spread: Buccaneers -7
- Buccaneers vs. Chargers over-under: 42.5 points
- Buccaneers vs. Chargers money line: Tampa Bay -320, Los Angeles +260
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Tampa Bay strolled past the Denver Broncos this past Sunday, 28-10. Tom Brady passed for three TDs and 297 yards on 38 attempts. He has 59 career games with three-plus TD passes and no INTs, the most in NFL history. The Buccaneers won back-to-back games by 14 or more points for the first time since November of 2010.
Mike Evans had two TDs in Week 3. He is one of three players with a receiving TD in each of the first three games of 2020. Shaquil Barrett had two sacks. Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Leonard Fournette (ankle) have been ruled out for Week 4. Evans should continue to play a large role in the passing game while Ronald Jones assumes full lead running back duties.
What you need to know about the Chargers
Meanwhile, Los Angeles lost to the Carolina Panthers 21-16. Carolina sacked Justin Herbert twice and converted three Chargers turnovers into 12 points. The rookie quarterback was 35 of 49 for 330 yards and a touchdown, but also had a fumble and an interception. Keenan Allen caught 13 passes for 136 yards and a TD. Allen moved into third place in receptions in franchise history with 548.
Austin Ekeler punched in a rushing touchdown in addition to catching 11 passes for 84 yards. It was his third career game with 10-plus catches, second-most among running backs since 2018. Ekeler has 964 scrimmage yards (96.4 per game) and nine TDs in his past 10 games on the road. He leads the AFC with 378 scrimmage yards.
How to make Buccaneers vs. Chargers picks
SportsLine's model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Chargers 10,000 times and the results are in. The model model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Chargers vs. Buccaneers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Chargers spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 4 of the NFL season on an incredible 103-67 roll.