Chiefs vs. Titans odds, spread: 2020 AFC Championship Game picks, predictions from advanced model on 96-65 run
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated the 2020 AFC Championship Game 10,000 times.
The Kansas City Chiefs attempt to post back-to-back playoff wins for the first time in over 25 years when they host the Tennessee Titans in the 2020 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 3:05 p.m. ET. Kansas City (13-4) registered its seventh straight win dating back to the regular season last Sunday, rallying from an early 24-point deficit to trounce Houston, 51-31, in the divisional round. The Chiefs, who are 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven contests, haven't won consecutive postseason games since knocking off Pittsburgh and the Houston Oilers in 1993.
Tennessee (11-7) is looking to extend its successful run since replacing starting quarterback Marcus Mariota with Ryan Tannehill in Week 7. The Titans have gone 9-3 since the change, clinching a playoff berth with a victory over the Texans in their regular-season finale before defeating New England in a wild-card matchup and top-seeded Baltimore in the divisional round. Kansas City is a touchdown favorite in the current Chiefs vs. Titans odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 53 after opening at 51. Before locking in any Titans vs. Chiefs picks or 2020 AFC Championship Game predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine's proven projection model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four-plus years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Championship Weekend of the 2020 NFL playoffs on a strong 34-22 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Chiefs vs. Titans spread: Kansas City -7
- Chiefs vs. Titans over-under: 53 points
- Chiefs vs. Titans money line: Kansas City -337, Tennessee +271
- TEN: Titans have scored a TD in 12 straight red-zone opportunities
- KC: QB Patrick Mahomes has eight TD passes in three career playoff games
Why the Chiefs can cover
The model knows the Chiefs are a scoring machine, as they put together eight consecutive drives against the Texans that resulted in points after falling behind 24-0, with the first seven ending in touchdowns. Kansas City finished the regular season with an average of 28.2 points, scoring at least 23 in all but one of its 16 contests.
The Chiefs registered 41 straight points in their divisional-round win, the most since the New York Jets annihilated Indianapolis, 41-0, in their 2002 wild-card contest. Running back Damien Williams and tight end Travis Kelce each recorded three touchdowns last week, with the latter joining Dave Casper (1977 divisional round) and Rob Gronkowski (2011 divisional round) as the only tight ends since 1950 with a trio of receiving scores in a postseason game.
Why the Titans can cover
But just because Kansas City has plenty of firepower doesn't mean it'll cover the Titans vs. Chiefs spread in the AFC Championship Game 2020. After ending the Patriots' hopes of winning a second straight Super Bowl championship with their rushing attack, the Titans used a similar formula to take down a top-seeded Ravens team that hadn't lost since late September. Derrick Henry, who was the NFL's leading rusher in the regular season and has been unstoppable since returning from a one-game absence due to a hamstring injury, ran for 195 yards against Baltimore and also threw a touchdown pass to help lead Tennessee to its first AFC Championship Game appearance since 2002.
Despite allowing Lamar Jackson to throw for 365 yards and run for another 143, the Titans' defense made life difficult for the MVP favorite in his second career playoff game, sacking him four times while forcing three turnovers, two of which led to touchdowns for Tennessee.
How to make Chiefs vs. Titans picks
We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Titans vs. Chiefs in the 2020 NFL Playoffs? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Titans spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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