The Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts will wrap up Week 5 in the NFL when these two AFC clubs go toe-to-toe on "Monday Night Football." Lamar Jackson's club comes into this game 3-1 on the season and are fresh off a road win in Denver. Meanwhile, the Colts earned their first win of the season in Miami last week after beginning the year 0-3. While these teams may have different records on the season, they are both 2-2 ATS, which is what we'll primarily focus on here.
In this space, we're going to dive into the different betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with the spread and total, we'll also take a look at a number of player props and hand in our picks for how we see this primetime matchup unfolding.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Monday, Oct. 11 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore, MD)
TV: ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Ravens -7, O/U 46
Line movement
Baltimore opened as a 6.5-point favorite, but it didn't take long for this number to tick up to Ravens -7, which has held throughout the week. There was a brief moment where you could take the points with Indianapolis at +100, but now it stands at -110.
The pick: Ravens -7. While Carson Wentz may be getting healthier, I still don't trust him to be the MVP candidate we saw for a moment in Philadelphia. He'll now face a Ravens front seven that is always willing to apply pressure. It also doesn't help that Indy's offensive line is banged up and ranks 20th in Adjusted Sack Rate. Wentz has completed just 54.4% of his throws while under pressure this season with just a 73.5 passer rating. If that continues Monday, he won't be able to keep up with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense, who just logged over 400 yards of total offense last week in Denver. Baltimore should be able to clear this touchdown spread in what could be a blowout win.
Key trend: Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
Over/Under total
This total has dipped quite a bit since opening at 49.5. Throughout the week, it has fallen over three points, sitting at 46 on the eve of this head-to-head.
The pick: Under 46. While the Ravens boast a top-10 offense, the Colts rank 26th in the NFL in offensive DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. Both of these clubs have talent on defense that should be able to make a couple of stops and each utilize a running game that could slow the scoring output as well. This total has also gone under in both the Colts' and Ravens' previous two games heading into Monday night.
Key trend: Under is 6-2 in the Ravens last eight games.
Lamar Jackson props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +105, Under -135)
- Passing yards: 228.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Pass attempts: 27.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Completions: 18.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Rushing yards: 61.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Rushing attempts: 10.5 (Over +105, Under -135)
- Longest pass completion: 36.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
Jackson has gone over this passing yards total in every game he's played this season, and the Colts are allowing 8.4 passing yards per attempts this season, which ranks sixth highest in the NFL.
Carson Wentz props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +150, Under -180)
- Passing yards: 225.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Pass attempts: 32.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
- Rushing yards: 9.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
- Completions: 20.5 (Over +100, Under -130)
- Longest pass completion: 34.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -105, Under -125)
The Over on Wentz's rushing yards prop of 9.5 is intriguing. The quarterback is getting healthier -- he practiced in full this week -- and will likely be flushed out of the pocket a handful of times Monday due to Baltimore's pass rush. Getting the Over on Wentz's completions at +100 could also be solid value. He's gone over this prop twice this season, including a 24-completion outing last week. The Ravens are also giving up around 24.7 completions per game this season.
Player props to consider
Sammy Watkins receiving yards: Over 39.5 (-115). Watkins is Baltimore's most targeted receiver and has gone over this total in every game he's played this season. Even if Rashod Bateman is available, Watkins should still have a role in this offense to get us over this number.
Jonathan Taylor receptions: Over 1.5 (-160). Taylor enjoyed a season-best 103 yards on the ground last seek, but he also saw three targets in the passing game. With the Ravens boasting a stout run defense, the Colts may opt to get the ball in Taylor's hands in the passing game.
Mark Andrews receiving yards: Over 48.5 (-110). Andrews has gone over this number in his past three games and is going against a Colts defense that just allowed 57 receiving yards to Mike Gesicki last week.
