Cowboys vs. Patriots odds, line, spread: 2019 NFL picks, predictions from proven model on 92-63 roll

The New England Patriots will look to continue their recent dominance over the Dallas Cowboys when they meet on Sunday, and it could be one of the most-bet games of the entire season. The Cowboys (6-4) are 6-7 on the road since the beginning of last year, while the Patriots (9-1) are a perfect 12-0 at home over the past two seasons. This must-see game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. The Patriots have won the last five games in the series, including a 30-6 victory the last time they met in Dallas on Oct. 11, 2015. New England is favored by 5.5 in the latest Cowboys vs. Patriots odds, down one from where the line opened, while the over-under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Cowboys picks of your own, listen to what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 12 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 30-20 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 92-63 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, The model has also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up and consistently beaten NFL odds.

Now, the model has set its sights on Cowboys vs. Patriots. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a strong against the spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60 percent of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see it. Now, here are the betting lines and trends for Patriots vs. Cowboys:

  • Cowboys vs. Patriots spread: Patriots -5.5
  • Cowboys vs. Patriots over-under: 44.5 points
  • Cowboys vs. Patriots money line: Cowboys +200, Patriots -250
  • DAL: 1-1 against AFC East teams
  • NE: Outscored opponents 287-108

Since 1994, New England has had 23 winning seasons, including this year, and 19 in a row. The Patriots have won 10 or more games in 17 of the past 18 seasons and are 264-90, including 30-10 in the postseason, under coach Bill Belichick. Since beginning play as the Boston Patriots in 1960, New England has made 26 postseason appearances and won six Super Bowls, including last season when they beat the Los Angeles Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl LIII. 

Wide receiver Julian Edelman is quarterback Tom Brady's top receiving weapon with 68 receptions for 716 yards (10.5 average) and four touchdowns. He has had six 20-plus yard receiving plays. Edelman has 39 receptions for 380 yards and two touchdowns over the past five games and will be leaned on heavily on Sunday with fellow wide receivers Phillip Dorsett (concussion) and Mohamed Sanu (ankle) both questionable.

But just because New England is perfect at home does not guarantee it will cover the Patriots vs. Cowboys spread on Sunday.

That's because Dallas has won three of its last four games and taking aim at a fourth straight winning season and fifth out of the past six years. The Cowboys are also 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games in November. Quarterback Dak Prescott has been prolific this season, completing 247-of-365 passes for 3,221 yards, an average of 322.1 per game, with 21 touchdowns and a 104.1 passer rating.

So who wins Cowboys vs. Patriots? And which side of the spread can you bank on in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Patriots spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

Enter our free Pick'em Challenge & compete to win $5,000.

Our Latest Stories