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Russell Wilson will try to continue his red-hot start to the season on Sunday when the Seattle Seahawks host the Dallas Cowboys at CenturyLink Field in Seattle. Through two games this season the Seattle quarterback leads the NFL in touchdown passes (nine), completion percentage (82.5) and passer rating (140.0). He has led the Seahawks (2-0) to victories over the Falcons and Patriots and is widely considered the early frontrunner for the MVP award. On Sunday, Wilson takes on a Dallas team (1-1) that allowed 273 passing yards and four touchdowns to Atlanta's Matt Ryan in Week 2. 

Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Seattle is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Seahawks vs. Cowboys odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 56.5. Before you make any Cowboys vs. Seahawks picks, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 5-2 start on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 3 on an incredible 101-67 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has zeroed in on Seahawks vs. Cowboys and locked in another confident against-the-spread pick. You can see it only at SportsLine. Now, here are several NFL odds and trends for Cowboys vs. Seahawks:

  • Cowboys vs. Seahawks spread: Seattle -5.5
  • Cowboys vs. Seahawks Over-Under: 56.5 points
  • Cowboys vs. Seahawks money line: Seattle -240, Dallas +200
  • SEA: QB Russell Wilson leads the NFL in passing touchdowns (nine)
  • DAL: RB Ezekiel Elliott ranks third in the NFL in rushing yards (185)

Why the Seahawks can cover

Second-year receiver DK Metcalf is developing into a legitimate deep threat. As a rookie last year Metcalf ranked second among all NFL rookie receivers in receptions (58) and third in receiving yards (900). So far this season he has eight catches, two touchdowns and at least 90 yards receiving in each of the first two games.

In addition, the Seahawks have the ability to slow Dallas' rushing attack. Through two games this season the Seahawks have allowed just 139 rushing yards on 46 carries (3.0 yards per carry). Seattle gave up just 67 rushing yards on 25 carries (2.7 yards per carry) to Cam Newton and the Patriots last week.  

Why the Cowboys can cover

Running back Ezekiel Elliott has been one of the best multidimensional threats in the NFL. So far this season, he has 249 yards from scrimmage (185 rushing, 64 receiving), fourth in the NFL. He also has three touchdowns from scrimmage, tied for sixth.

In addition, quarterback Dak Prescott and the Cowboys' receivers have a strong matchup against Seattle's pass defense. The Seahawks have struggled so far this season against the pass, allowing 831 yards. That's the most allowed by any defense in the league entering Week 3.

How to make Seahawks vs. Cowboys picks

Now, the model has broken down Seahawks vs. Cowboys from every angle. The model is leaning under, saying no running back tops 100 yards, but its much stronger play is on the spread. In fact, it says one team is covering in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see which side to back here

So who wins Cowboys vs. Seahawks? And which team covers well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Seahawks vs. Cowboys spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,300 on its NFL picks.