The Dallas Cowboys will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak when they face the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon. Dallas is coming off one of its strongest performances of the season, securing a 54-19 win over the Indianapolis Colts last week. Houston's lone win came in Week 5 against Jacksonville, as it has lost seven straight games since then.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by 17 points in the latest Cowboys vs. Texans odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 44. Before entering any Texans vs. Cowboys picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 156-112 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Cowboys vs. Texans spread: Cowboys -17
- Cowboys vs. Texans over/under: 44 points
- Cowboys vs. Texans money line: Dallas -2400, Houston +1150
- Cowboys vs. Texans picks: See picks here
Why the Cowboys can cover
Houston has been a disaster this season, and the struggles have continued with Kyle Allen at quarterback the past two weeks. Allen has been benched coming into this contest, giving Davis Mills another opportunity. The Texans rank near the bottom of the NFL in almost every major statistical category, which does not bode well against one of the hottest teams in the league.
Dallas scored 33 unanswered points in the fourth quarter of their blowout win over Indianapolis last week, with four fourth-quarter takeaways all leading to touchdowns. The Cowboys have been outstanding on the ground in recent weeks, racking up 220 rushing yards against the Colts. They are still two games back of Philadelphia in the NFC East standings, giving them plenty of motivation on Sunday.
Why the Texans can cover
Houston might be entering this game with a 1-10-1 record, but only one of those losses came by 17-plus points. The Texans have gone six straight games without losing by that margin, and they are going to have quarterback Davis Mills back on the field for this game. Mills was benched two weeks ago, but he should play better after watching the last two games from the sidelines.
Rookie running back Dameon Pierce has been a bright spot for Houston this season, racking up 861 rushing yards to lead all rookies. He had 73 rushing yards against Cleveland last week and also has 165 receiving yards this year, making him the third rookie in franchise history to crack the 1,000-yard mark. Dallas has important games against Philadelphia and Tennessee looming later this month, so Houston might not command the Cowboys full attention on Sunday.
How to make Texans vs. Cowboys picks
The model has simulated Cowboys vs. Texans 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texans vs. Cowboys? And which side hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Cowboys vs. Texans spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.