Eagles vs. Giants odds: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions by advanced model on 58-40 run

It's raining at MetLife Stadium, with more expected throughout Thursday Night Football between the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants. So much rain will fall, in fact, that a flash flood watch is in effect. It's been a turbulent start to the season for both teams too. After Sunday's home loss to the Vikings, the Eagles already have as many losses this season as they did in all of 2017. Big Blue was on the verge of a huge upset in Carolina before Graham Gano's game-winning, 63-yard field goal dropped them to 1-4. Expect these seething rivals to come out fired up in a still-winnable NFC East. The Eagles opened as 2.5-point road favorites, but heavy action on the Giants and questions about the Eagles' offensive line pushed the line all the way down to -1. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, has dropped slightly from 45 to 44.5.

Before you make any Eagles vs. Giants picks, see what SportsLine's Projection Model has to say. SportsLine's proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

It was a blistering 10-5 straight up in a wild Week 5, including calling the Jets' outright upset of the Broncos. It also recommended the Bills (+6) against the spread and on the money line (+230) against the Titans. The model is now on an impressive 58-40 run on all of its top-rated picks, and anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the computer has simulated Giants vs. Eagles 10,000 times to produce strong against-the-spread, money-line and over-under picks. We can tell you it's leaning toward the over, but its bold point-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations can be found only at SportsLine. 

The model knows that Carson Wentz is beginning to find his form three games back from a serious ACL injury. He has already tossed five touchdowns and has 914 yards passing. Expect him to look early and often for tight end Zach Ertz, the Pro Bowler who leads the Eagles with 41 receptions. Ertz has 437 receiving yards and scored his first touchdown of the season against the Vikings last week.

The Eagles, despite their offensive struggles, still field an elite defense that ranks seventh in points allowed (20.8) and 10th in yards allowed (343.2). Jordan Hicks (40 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and Fletcher Cox (3 sacks) likely will cause plenty of disruption versus the Giants' mediocre offensive line.

Just because the Eagles have been flying high doesn't mean they'll cover on Thursday Night Football on the road.

Eagles left tackle Lane Johnson may sit with an ankle injury. When news broke that Johnson would likely be sidelined for Thursday Night Football, the line began falling. Johnson was a Pro Bowler last season and first team All-Pro.

And the Giants are finally clicking offensively, as quarterback Eli Manning spreads the ball around to Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard and rookie sensation Saquon Barkley. Beckham even threw a touchdown to Barkley last week on a trick play. Evan Engram was ruled out of Thursday Night Football with a knee injury after being limited in practice.

Moreover, history says the Giants have a very good chance to cash. The last four meetings between the Eagles and Giants have been decided by five or fewer points.

So, which side of the Eagles vs. Giants spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to be all over, all from the incredible computer model that has returned over $4,000 to $100 bettors.

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