Falcons vs. Jets odds: Top-rated expert reveals insider picks for NFL Preseason Week 1

The first slate of NFL preseason games is underway and among the many Week 1 matchups is Falcons vs. Jets. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday from MetLife Stadium. New Jets quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is likely to get the lion's share of the snaps, but Gang Green fans will be out to get their first peek at quarterback of the future Sam Darnold. The hometown Jets are 2.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 35.

Before you lock in your Falcons vs. Jets picks, you have to see what SportsLine stat geek R.J. White has to say. White knows what it takes to win on football's biggest stage. He finished in the top 1 percent of the Las Vegas SuperContest last season after also cashing huge in 2015. That's right -- he's crushed the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament twice in the last three years.

If you had placed $100 on each of White's NFL point-spread picks last season, you would have won nearly $2,000. Smart bettors tail him.

Now, with the NFL regular season fast approaching, White has locked in his point-spread picks for the preseason, including Falcons vs. Jets. He's only sharing them over at SportsLine.

We can tell you White is leaning Over 35 points, telling SportsLine, "The Jets generally play low-scoring preseason games, but I'm blaming it on the quarterbacks that were jettisoned in the offseason and leaning toward the Over here, thinking they'll score in the 20s and carry us past the total." White's much stronger play is on the spread, which is available at SportsLine.

White knows you can expect plenty of pressure on Jets coach Todd Bowles, who begins his final year of a four-year contract. With no playoff appearances in his first three seasons, it's imperative he get off to a strong start.

Bridgewater, who signed a one-year extension in March, is expected to start for the Jets. Entering his fourth season in the pros, he hasn't made a regular-season start since 2015. He is well aware that his potential future is backing up Darnold, who inked a four-year, $30 million deal.

The Jets' disappointing 5-11 record in 2017 means it's no guarantee they'll cover a 2.5-point spread. New offensive coordinator Jeremy Bates has his hands full with an offense that finished last season 28th in the league in yards per game with 305.

One player the Falcons coaching staff will keep a sharp eye on is first-round draft pick Calvin Ridley, who has been a one-man-highlight reel in training camp so far. He's another potent weapon on a team that finished 2017 near the top of the NFL in yards per game. But the biggest difference-maker who could determine the spread outcome is Falcons second-string kicker David Marvin, who is expected to handle most of the extra point and field goal attempts. 

White has evaluated each roster from top to bottom and unearthed a critical stat that determines which side you should be all over.

So which side of the spread should you back for Atlanta vs. New York on Friday and which critical stat determines this showdown? Visit SportsLine here to see which side you need to be all over, from the expert who keeps crushing the Las Vegas SuperContest, and find out.

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