Teams that have had success on Monday Night Football meet when the Atlanta Falcons take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Green Bay (3-0), making an appearance on Monday for the 28th consecutive season, has won six of its last seven Monday night games since 2014. Atlanta (0-3), meanwhile, is 5-1 during that same time frame. The Packers are 33-32-1 all-time on Monday Night Football. The game from Green Bay is slated to start at 8:50 p.m. ET. Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur has compiled a 16-3 mark in his two years with the Packers, while Atlanta coach Dan Quinn, in his sixth season, is 43-40.

Davante Adams (hamstring) and Allen Lazard (core) are inactive for Green Bay. Kickoff from Lambeau Field is set for 8:50 p.m. ET. Green Bay is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Packers odds from William Hill, while the over-under is 56. Before making any Packers vs. Falcons picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 7-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 4 on an incredible 103-67 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Packers. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Falcons vs. Packers:

  • Falcons vs. Packers spread: Packers -5.5
  • Falcons vs. Packers over-under: 56 points
  • Falcons vs. Packers money line: Falcons +280, Packers -340
  • ATL: S Damontae Kazee had his fifth career forced fumble last week
  • GB: First in the NFL, scoring 40.7 points per game

Why the Packers can cover

Despite Adams missing another game with a hamstring injury, Green Bay's offense is still dynamic. One of the reasons is running back Aaron Jones, who leads the team in rushing, carrying 50 times for 303 yards (6.1 average) and four touchdowns. He has a 75-yard touchdown run to his credit and has converted 13 first downs. He is also a threat out of the backfield, with 10 catches for 95 yards and one TD. 

Also a threat is tight end Robert Tonyan, who has seven catches for 75 yards (10.7 average) and two touchdowns. He has converted six first downs. Last week against New Orleans, Tonyan had a career-high five receptions for 50 yards and a score. He is looking for his third game in a row with a touchdown catch.

Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta has struggled stopping opponents this season but is led by linebacker Deion Jones, who is off to a strong start to the year. Deion Jones leads the Falcons with 23 tackles, including 10 solo, and one-half sack and 1.5 tackles for loss. He has four pass breakups in three career games against Green Bay and looking for his fourth game in a row against the Packers with a pass breakup.

Also powering the defense is rookie linebacker Mykal Walker, who is fourth on the team with 17 tackles, including 10 solo, with one tackle for loss. Last week against the Bears, Walker had eight tackles and his first career forced fumble.

How to make Falcons vs. Packers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it's calling for 62 total points. It has also generated an against the spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick here

So who wins Packers vs. Falcons on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Packers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,500 on its NFL picks over the past five seasons, and find out.