For the Gambler in You, Week 2: Redskins, Titans will cover

Each week, we’ll take the best -- and most clever -- odds collected by Bovada for the upcoming week and give our take. This is important stuff, perhaps the most important post you’ll read all week. Because if you can’t lose money while watching a game in which you have absolutely no effect, what’s the point of watching sports at all?

Note: Home team is listed first in Against the Spread.

Game One: Packers -7.5 vs. Redskins
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

2013 Against The Spread
Overall: 0-1 Overall: 0-1
Home: 0-0 Home: 0-1
Away: 0-1 Away: 0-0
Last 5 vs. WAS: 3-1-1 Last 5 vs. GB: 1-3-1
2013 Team Rankings
Pass offense: 8th Pass defense: 8th
Rush offense: 26th Rush defense: 32nd
Pass defense: 30th Pass offense: 9th
Rush defense: 20th Rush offense: 20th

Verdict: I don't know, it just feels like the line is too heavy for Green Bay in this matchup. The Redskins looked horrible in the first half against the Eagles, but basically, that was Robert Griffin III's preseason. He looked like a completely different quarterback in the second half and nearly made a huge comeback vs. Philadelphia. And suddenly, the Redskins defense slowed down the Eagles high-octane offense. Meanwhile, the Packers are coming off a tough West Coast trip and a loss to the 49ers. Frankly, I like Green Bay to win this game, but Washington will make it a struggle and will cover.

Game Two: Chiefs -3.5 vs. Cowboys
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET FOX

2013 Against The Spread
Overall: 1-0 Overall: 1-0
Home: 0-0 Home: 1-0
Away: 1-0 Away: 0-0
Last 2 vs. DAL: 1-0-1 Last 2 vs. KC: 0-1-1
2013 Team Rankings
Pass offense: 26th Pass defense: 31st
Rush offense: 6th Rush defense: 4th
Pass defense: 1st Pass offense: 16th
Rush defense: 12th Rush offense: 15th

Verdict: As I wrote already this week, I liked the Chiefs to win and cover the -0.5 spread. Now that the line is at -3.5, my mind has been churning. Are the Chiefs good enough, based on a big win against one of the worst teams in the league last week, to beat Dallas by more than a field goal? I still say yes. Mostly because Tony Romo is going to struggle with his injured ribs. And I still believe in Andy Reid.

Game Three (largest spread of week): Texans -9.5 vs. Titans
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

2013 Against The Spread
Overall: 0-1 Overall: 1-0
Home: 0-0 Home: 1-0
Away: 0-1 Away: 0-0
Last 5 vs. TEN: 3-2 Last 5 vs. HOU: 2-3
2013 Team Rankings
Pass offense: 7th Pass defense: 5th
Rush offense: 7th Rush defense: 2nd
Pass defense: 10th Pass offense: 31st
Rush defense: 15th Rush offense: 8th

Verdict: The Texans were disappointing last week, needing to score 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to escape with a win in San Diego. Meanwhile, the Titans defense shut out the Steelers offense for virtually the entire game in what was a surprising win at Pittsburgh. You have to wonder if Houston is as good as some people think it is, and you have to wonder if the Titans are better than other analysts thought. I think it's a little bit of a both, and I like Tennessee to keep it close this week.


How many offensive plays will the Eagles run Week 2 vs. San Diego?   

Over/Under   80½

Last week, the Eagles ran 77 plays (an amazing 53 in the first half), and you know what, coach Chip Kelly wasn't satisfied, saying the team's offense was too slow for his tastes. In the second half, he's probably right, though credit has to be given to the Redskins for making a strong comeback after falling behind 33-7. Either way, I like Philadelphia going over this week. The Chargers allowed 75 plays last week to the Texans, and you combine that with another week of seasoning for Philadelphia, and that will make the difference.  

Will there be a safety recorded in any game Week 2?     

Yes   -200 (1/2)

No   +150 (3/2)

As you well know, there were three safeties about 15 minutes after Sunday kicked off. If it seems like a lot, well, that's because it is. The last time there were a trio of safeties on the first weekend was in 1999. Pretty fun, right? Anyway, there won't be a two-pointer this week. We'll all just have to live without it for a little while.

Who will throw more TD passes in the game?   

Peyton Manning (DEN) QB   -200 (1/2)

Eli Manning (NYG) QB   +160 (8/5)

As you should know, you always go with the older brother to win prop bets like this. So, go with Peyton. And if he's not available, go with Cooper. 

Last week: 1-2 against the spread; 1-0 on prop bets. Last two years: 27-37 against the spread; 34-17-1 on prop bets.

Follow Josh Katzowitz on Google+

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