Cam Newton threw at least 21 touchdown passes in five of his eight full seasons with the Carolina Panthers, registering a career-high 35 during his NFL MVP-winning campaign in 2015. The 31-year-old will be hard-pressed to hit the 20-TD mark in his first year with the New England Patriots, as he has recorded just two over his first six contests. Newton will try to end a three-game drought when the Patriots visit the AFC East-rival New York Jets on Monday Night Football. Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET.

The Patriots (2-5) ran for a pair of scores last Sunday but suffered their fourth consecutive loss, a 24-21 setback at Buffalo. New York (0-8) remained the NFL's only winless team when it was soundly thrashed 35-9 in Week 8 at Kansas City. New England is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Jets vs. Patriots odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is 42. Before making your Patriots vs. Jets picks, you need to check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 15-8 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 9 on an incredible 111-73 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has broken down Patriots vs. Jets. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Jets vs. Patriots:

  • Patriots vs. Jets spread: New England -9.5
  • Patriots vs. Jets over-under: 42 points
  • Patriots vs. Jets money line: New England -345, New York +285
  • NE: Under has hit in three of last four Patriots games
  • NYJ: Jets are 1-7 against the spread this season
Latest Odds: New England Patriots -9.5

Why the Patriots can cover

Newton has very few weapons at his disposal, which is a major reason why New England is 30th in the league in passing offense (192 yards). The Patriots rank 29th in scoring offense (19.4 points), but despite their struggling aerial attack, they still should be able to put points on the board against New York's porous defense.

Future Hall-of-Famer Tom Brady also had very few reliable receivers last season but managed to lead New England to 30-14 and 33-0 victories over the Jets. 

The Patriots have the NFL's third-best rushing offense (159.7 yards), with Newton leading the way. The multi-threat quarterback leads the team in both rushing yards (298) and touchdowns (six), running into the end zone in four of his six games. Running back Damien Harris has gained 279 yards and scored once, while Rex Burkhead has a pair of rushing TDs.

Why the Jets can cover

For New York to have a chance to record its first win of the 2020 NFL season, it will need to have wide receiver Jamison Crowder in the lineup. The 27-year-old wide has missed the Jets' last two games with a groin injury and was a limited participant in Friday's practice. Crowder, who has appeared in only four contests this year, leads the team with 29 receptions and 383 yards. 

Crowder, who also is tied for first on the Jets with two touchdown catches, has three 100-yard performances in 2020. He is even in receiving scores with fellow receiver Braxton Berrios, who is second on the club with 23 catches and 210 yards. The 25-year-old from the University of Miami hauled in a team-high eight passes for 34 yards against the reigning Super Bowl-champion Chiefs last weekend.

How to make Jets vs. Patriots picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says neither team produces a 60-yard rusher or receiver. It also says one side of the spread cashes over 50 percent of the time. You can only get that pick at SportsLine

So who wins Patriots vs. Jets on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hitting over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Jets vs. Patriots spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 111-73 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.