'Monday Night Football' odds: Expert who's 52-30 on NFL totals picks Rams-Raiders

The Jon Gruden era resumes in Oakland on "Monday Night Football" when the Raiders host a popular Super Bowl pick, the Los Angeles Rams, in the final Week 1 NFL game. The Raiders might still be in shock after management traded their top defensive player, pass-rusher Khalil Mack, on Sept. 1 for draft picks. L.A. is brimming with optimism after finishing 11-5 and getting standout defensive lineman Aaron Donald to end his holdout and sign a long-term extension. Sportsbooks list the visiting Rams as 4.5-point favorites, up two from the opening line, while the over-under for total points scored is 47.5, down two from where it opened. Kickoff from Oakland Alameda Coliseum is at 10:20 p.m. ET.

Before you make any Rams vs. Raiders picks, you'll want to hear what Mike Tierney has to say.

A renowned national sportswriter who has covered seven Super Bowls, Tierney has an extreme gift for picking over-unders. And living in L.A., he knows the Rams better than most. In their final game last season, Tierney confidently told readers go under 48.5 in the Falcons-Rams playoff game. The result: Atlanta won 26-13 and the under hit by nearly 10 points.

That wasn't some lucky guess. Tierney has been crushing the books on these picks for two-plus years, going an astonishing 52-30 on NFL over-under picks since the beginning of the 2016 season. Those who have followed his picks have seen massive returns.

Now, Tierney has analyzed every matchup, every trend and every angle for "Monday Night Football" between the Rams and Raiders and locked in his over-under pick. He's only sharing it at SportsLine.

Tierney knows the Rams led the league in scoring (29.9 points per game) last season and added an elite deep threat in Brandin Cooks. With defenses needing to respect Todd Gurley (19 touchdowns last year), third-year quarterback Jared Goff can exploit man coverage with an array of targets, including Cooks, Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. The Raiders are expected to be much more dynamic under Gruden, an offensive guru who has plenty to work with in Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, Jordy Nelson and Marshawn Lynch.

But just because both teams have big offensive reputations doesn't mean Rams-Raiders goes over 47.5 points.

L.A. looks downright frightening on defense, with Ndamukong Suh joining Donald up front and Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib bolstering the secondary. The Rams seem destined to improve on last year's 12th-place finish in points allowed (20.6). While Oakland dealt Mack, the Raiders still feature Bruce Irvin (eight sacks, four forced fumbles last year) anchoring a front that includes Arden Key, Tank Carradine and Frostee Rucker. Fadol Brown has a motor that never stops and claims defensive chemistry "is at an all-time high."

Tierney has evaluated all this and knows there's a huge x-factor that ultimately determines whether Rams-Raiders goes over or under. And he's sharing it over at SportsLine.

So which side of the total should you back in Rams-Raiders on Monday night? Visit SportsLine now to see what big x-factor sends Rams-Raiders over or under, all from the seasoned expert who's an astonishing 52-30 picking NFL totals since the start of the 2016 season.

Our Latest Stories