Monday Night Football odds: Jets vs. Browns picks, top predictions from expert who's 7-1 on Cleveland games

The Cleveland Browns and New York Jets played the first Monday Night Football game on Sept. 21, 1970, and to commemorate the 50th season of Monday Night Football the two teams meet again. Almost exactly 49 years since that historic game, which Cleveland won, 31-21, the Browns (0-1) and Jets (0-1) face off at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Monday's game was supposed to be a showdown between Cleveland quarterback Baker Mayfield and New York quarterback Sam Darnold, who were the No. 1 and No. 3 overall picks, respectively, in the 2018 NFL Draft, but Darnold will miss multiple weeks with mononucleosis. Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET. Cleveland is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Browns vs. Jets odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 45. Before making any Browns vs. Jets picks of your own, be sure to check out the NFL predictions from SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh.

The renowned co-founder of Accuscore, Oh simulates each game 10,000 times using the SportsLine projection model. Last season, he nailed 26 of 37 of his NFL picks against the spread, an incredible 70 percent success rate. And he is on an amazing run in games involving the Browns. Dating to September 2017, Oh is 7-1 on against the spread picks involving the Browns. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has crunched the numbers and generated a strong NFL against the spread pick for Jets vs. Browns. It's available only at SportsLine. 

Oh has taken into account that Cleveland will not have to face Darnold. Instead, the Browns will take on Jets backup Trevor Siemian, who hasn't played in a regular season game since 2017. Even with Darnold in the season opener, New York managed just 223 yards and gave up four sacks in the 17-16 loss to Buffalo. That bodes well for a Cleveland team that, on paper, has one of the NFL's best defensive lines, led by former No. 1 overall pick Myles Garrett.

In addition, Oh knows that the Browns, who were the league's most hyped team in the offseason, will be motivated to bounce back from the season-opening debacle against Tennessee. Though he threw three interceptions and was sacked five times by the Titans, quarterback Baker Mayfield is coming off a stellar rookie season (63.8 completion percentage, 27 touchdowns). Beckham has four 1,000-yard seasons in five years and forms a one-two receiving tandem with Jarvis Landry. Nick Chubb rushed for 996 yards and eight touchdowns as a rookie last year.

Even so, Cleveland is no guarantee to cover the Jets vs. Browns spread on Monday Night Football. 

Oh also knows that the Jets forced four turnovers against the Bills. Quarterback Josh Allen tossed two interceptions and lost two fumbles. The swirling defensive intensity should continue on Monday Night Football.

Jets running back Le'Veon Bell had a shoulder MRI late in the week, but is active for Monday night's matchup. In his first game after holding out the entire 2018 season, Bell had 17 rushes for 60 yards and added six catches for 32 yards and a score. His versatility was on full display, and he'll be leaned on even more with New York turning to Siemian at quarterback in relief of Darnold.

Oh has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning over, he has discovered a crucial x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's sharing it only at SportsLine. 

Who wins Browns vs. Jets on Monday Night Football? And what crucial x-factor causes one side of the spread to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Jets spread you need to jump all over Monday, all from the data scientist who's an amazing 7-1 on picks involving the Browns.

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