The Houston Texans are 2-10 on the field this season, but their against-the-spread record is 5-7. They are 8.5-point home underdogs against the Seattle Seahawks in the latest Week 14 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The NFL's other two-win team, the Jacksonville Jaguars, are slightly worse against the spread at 4-8. They're also 8.5-point underdogs in the latest NFL spreads against the team that surprisingly lost to Houston, the Tennessee Titans. All of the Week 14 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 14 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021 season on an incredible 132-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Top Week 14 NFL predictions
One of the model's strongest Week 14 NFL picks is that the Washington Football Team (+4.5) covers the spread against the Cowboys at home. Washington enters this matchup riding a four-game winning streak following their four-game losing streak earlier this season. The Cowboys have proven to be the stronger team over the entire campaign, but not by enough to warrant more than a field goal in their favor.
Taylor Heinicke has shown himself to be a capable quarterback for Washington, and even with Chase Young lost for the year with a knee injury, Washington's defense has proved effective as well. The team has held four of its five last opponents to under 300 total yards and hasn't let a team score 30 points in a game since Oct. 17.
Washington covers the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations from SportsLine's model, making the team a top pick for any Week 14 NFL best bets. The model also gives Washington almost a 50 percent chance to win the game outright, making the team a candidate on the moneyline.
Another one of its Week 14 NFL predictions: The Saints (-5.5) cover against the Jets on the road. While New Orleans has struggled in its first season of the post-Drew Brees era, it's going up against a team that is having an even tougher time: New York. The Jets' only win in the past month came against the Texans, and their defense is having a tough time in head coach Robert Saleh's first campaign.
New Orleans will start Taysom Hill at quarterback even after he completed just 19-of-41 passes and suffered a finger injury in Week 13. The model projects him to have an easier time against the Jets' defense, and has him throwing for almost 190 yards on 29 passes.
The Saints win and cover the spread in over 50 percent of simulations from SportsLine's model, making them a top pick for Week 14 NFL bets. Smart bettors should heavily consider the point total in this game as well. It sits at 43 ahead of Sunday's matchup, and SportsLine's model has it going over in almost 60 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 14 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 14 NFL schedule, and it's calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,200 since its inception, and find out.
Week 14 NFL odds, spreads, lines
Sunday, Dec. 12
Saints at Jets (+5.5, 43)
Cowboys at Washington (+4.5, 48)
Monday, Dec. 13