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Teams favored by a touchdown or more have gone 29-31-1 against the spread this season. The current Week 14 NFL spreads from William Hill Sportsbook list five teams favored by a touchdown or more. The Seahawks are laying 13.5, the biggest spread of the week, against the Jets in the latest Week 14 NFL odds. Seattle lost outright as an 11-point favorite against the Giants a week ago, so can you trust Russell Wilson and company in your NFL bets?

Meanwhile, the Titans are 7.5-point favorites over the Jaguars in the current Week 14 NFL lines, fresh off a 41-35 loss to the Browns in which they trailed 38-7 at the half. Can the Titans bounce back with the Colts breathing down their necks in the AFC South, and which Week 14 NFL Vegas odds are way off? All of the Week 14 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 14 NFL picks now.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.

It's a sizzling 20-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, already returning almost $800. The model enters Week 14 on an incredible 116-76 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has examined the latest Week 14 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.

Top NFL predictions for Week 14

One of the top Week 14 NFL picks the model recommends: Carolina covers as a 3.5-point home favorite against Denver. Both teams have matching 4-8 records and are 7-5 against the spread, but the Panthers have been the better bet lately. In fact, Carolina has covered in three of four, while the Broncos have covered in just two of four. 

The Panthers have a plus-four turnover differential, while the Broncos sit at minus-17. Since the start of last season, Panthers quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has the highest cover percentage (11-5) of any quarterback with at least 10 starts.

The model predicts that Bridgewater will produce 256 yards of total offense and score two total touchdowns. The Panthers will also generate multiple turnovers, leading to a cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. The over (44.5) also hits over 50 percent of the time.

Another one of the top Week 14 NFL predictions from the model: The Tennessee Titans (-7.5) cover on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tennessee has won eight of the last 10 against Jacksonville and has at least one double-digit win the past three seasons. Tennessee failed to cover as a seven-point favorite in the teams' first meeting this season, but the model likes Tennessee's chances to pick up the victory by 10 points this time around.

The line opened at Tennessee -9.5, but has come down two points since then. The model is calling for Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill to throw for over 250 yards and two scores, while running back Derrick Henry clears 100 yards on the ground. Tennessee covers in well over 50 percent of simulations, while the under (52.5) hits 60 percent of the time.

How to make Week 14 NFL picks 

The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 14 NFL schedule and identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.

What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 14? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks

NFL odds, matchups for Week 14

Sunday, Dec. 13

Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers (-3.5, 44.5)

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5, 52.5)

Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Giants (+2.5, 45.5)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins (+7, 50.5)

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions (+7.5, 55)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5, 53)

Dallas Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bengals (+3, 43)

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears (+2, 46)

New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks (-13.5, 47)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+3, 51.5)

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles (+7.5, 42.5)

Washington Football Team vs. San Francisco 49ers (-3, 43.5)

Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+1.5, 49)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills (-1.5, 48)

Monday, Dec. 14

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (+2.5, 47)