The playoff races are coming down to the wire as NFL Week 16 arrives, and the NFL schedule has something for everybody. Some games will have impacts on the postseason and others will influence NFL draft position, but they can all fatten your wallet if you play them right in your NFL prop picks. The Bills (8-6) vs. Patriots (9-5) rematch and the Ravens (8-6) vs. Bengals (8-6) showdown both have major playoff implications. Meanwhile, the Jaguars (2-12) are poised for another No. 1 NFL draft pick and could be trying to avoid a road victory against the Jets (3-11).
Rookie quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence of the Jaguars and the Jets' Zach Wilson square off Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the over-under on Lawrence's passing yards at 218.5 (-115) in its latest NFL Week 16 props odds. Caesars is favoring Wilson to go under 215.5 (-125) on his passing yards total. There are similar props for most top players, and there is value to be found. Before locking in any 2021 Week 16 NFL prop bets, you need to check out the top NFL picks and predictions from NFL props expert Alex Selesnick.
Over the past two seasons, Selesnick (aka PropStarz) is up more than 115 units on NFL props and futures plays. For a $100 bettor, that's a more than $11,000 return. PropStarz specializes in NFL and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling.
Through 15 weeks, PropStarz is an impressive 44-31 on his picks for SportsLine. In Week 15, he was all over Russell Gage to go Over 4.5 Receptions (-125), predicting the Falcons would need to air it out if they wanted to beat San Francisco.
PropStarz knew that the 49ers have been tough against the run all season and had been limiting opposing tight ends. "This should make things difficult for Kyle Pitts and Cordarrelle Patterson, who both have very difficult matchups on paper." the expert told SportsLine. "That leaves Gage as the potential focal point of Atlanta's passing attack as the path of least resistance."
The expert was on the money, with Patterson rushing for just 18 yards as Atlanta totaled 62 on the ground. The victory didn't come, but the Falcons tried to air it out, and Gage was the team's leading receiver with eight catches for 91 yards and a TD in the 31-13 loss.
Now, after sifting through the hundreds of available Week 16 NFL prop bets, PropStarz has found five more picks he loves. He's only sharing his Week 16 NFL prop picks at SportsLine.
Top 2021 Week 16 NFL prop picks
One prop bet that PropStarz loves for NFL Week 16: Joe Burrow goes over 32.5 passing attempts (-125) against the Ravens on Sunday. The Ravens have the second-worst pass defense in the NFL (264.9 yards per game), and now they will be missing their entire secondary. They had 13 defensive players available for practice Friday because of injuries and COVID.
Burrow had a season-high 416 passing yards in a 41-17 victory against the Ravens in Week 7. He completed 23-of-38 pass attempts and had three TD passes. A Cincinnati receiving corps led by rookie Ja'Marr Chase and also featuring Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd should wreak havoc on Sunday. Chase had 201 receiving yards in that Week 7 matchup. The rookie wideout is averaging 17 yards per catch, and Burrow will be looking to him often to try to bury the AFC North rivals again.
How to make 2021 NFL Week 16 prop bet picks
PropStarz has locked in four other Week 16 NFL prop picks, including one on a superstar receiver who is due for a bounce-back that you'll want to be all over. You can get all his 2021 Week 16 NFL prop bet picks over at SportsLine.
What are the five best 2021 Week 16 NFL prop bets you can make? And which receiver prop do you need to jump on now? Visit SportsLine now to see the best NFL Week 16 prop bets, all from the expert up more than 115 units the past two years, and find out.
