NFL Week 10 expert picks, bets, and odds: Parlay of the week

Heading into Week 10 of the NFL season, there are 21 teams within 2.5 games of first place in their division.

And if you want to turn a huge profit from the NFL this weekend, there's nobody better to listen to than Micah Roberts. Roberts ran Station Casinos' sportsbooks for over a dozen years. Now, he's on a blazing 13-4 run in NFL picks. As a SportsLine analyst, he can spot a bad spread a mile away.

Those who have jumped on board with Roberts have certainly been happy with their bottom line.

Roberts has released his top NFL picks for this week over at SportsLine. Putting these three in a parlay will return a huge 6-1 payout. If you bet $100 on it, you would make $600. If you go big, it could be a life-changing bet.

We'll give one away: Roberts is a big fan of the Chicago Bears in a spot where they haven't had much success lately: playing the Green Bay Packers.

The Packers have covered 11 of the past 14 meetings, but Green Bay was the favorite in all of those games. The Packers beat the Bears 35-14 in Week 4 on Thursday Night Football.

This time, the Bears come in as the favorite, thanks in large part to the absence of QB Aaron Rodgers (collarbone).

Brett Hundley has not performed nearly well enough to make the Packers a contender. After two subpar performances, Hundley got a bye week to prepare for the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football.

The result: the Packers were held to 10 points until a meaningless last-play TD in a 30-17 home defeat. He has a 1:4 TD:INT ratio this season.

While the Bears haven't gotten much production from their QB -- first Mike Glennon, now Mitchell Trubisky -- their defense (ranked eighth overall in yards allowed per game) and rushing attack (No. 8 in the NFL) have carried the load.

The Packers can't same the same for either, ranking 25th in total defense and 21st in rushing.

The Bears have been stout defensively at home. They nearly upset the defending NFC champion Falcons in Week 1 at Soldier Field and had multiple chances to win outright down the stretch. They beat the Steelers in OT at home and then lost by a field goal to the Vikings. The Bears then stomped Cam Newton and the Panthers 17-3 in their last game at Soldier Field after jumping out to a 14-0 lead thanks to two Eddie Jackson pick-sixes.

Roberts has also identified a team that's not getting nearly enough points at home, and another game in which the wrong team is favored. He's sharing who those teams are over at SportsLine.

So what are the three NFL picks that Roberts is confident in that could return a huge 6/1 payout in Week 10 if you parlay them together? Visit SportsLine now to see which line the oddsmakers have completely wrong, and which home team isn't getting enough points, all from the expert on an astonishing 13-4 run on his NFL selections.

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