The Kansas City Chiefs have won the AFC West the last five seasons, but their streak could come to an end if their recent play is any indication. They occupy the basement of the division with a 2-3 record and rank last in the NFL with an average of 32.6 points allowed per game. Kansas City will attempt to tighten up defensively and begin a turnaround when it visits the Washington Football Team on Sunday. The Chiefs are seven-point favorites in the latest Week 6 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and many will jump on them with their NFL survivor pool picks.

Other favorites that could attract attention for your NFL knockout pool picks include the Los Angeles Rams (-10.5 against the New York Giants) and Indianapolis Colts (-9.5 against the Houston Texans. Before making any Week 5 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 6 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-83 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format. The team winning the most model simulations each week is a perfect 5-0 after the Patriots (78 percent) edged the Texans, joining the 49ers in Week 1 (75 percent), Buccaneers in Week 2 (79 percent), Cardinals and Ravens in Week 3 (79 percent) and Bills in Week 4 (87 percent). You can only see who the model is backing in NFL Week 6 at SportsLine.

Top Week 6 NFL survivor pool predictions

For Week 6, the model is shying away from the undefeated Arizona Cardinals against the Cleveland Browns. The Cardinals are 5-0 for the first time since 1974, when they began the campaign with seven consecutive victories and finished at 10-4 to win the NFC East. Arizona is sixth in the league in scoring defense (19 points) but ranks 28th against the run (139 yards) and is facing the top rushing team in the league.

Cleveland is averaging a league-high 187.6 yards on the ground and also leads the NFL with 12 rushing touchdowns. The Cardinals have allowed only three rushing TDs this season, but the Browns are just too dangerous in the model's projections this week.

How to make Week 6 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a team whose quarterback is coming off his best performance of the season. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 7, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 6 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 6, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.