The Atlanta Falcons entered the 2020 season having won eight of their last nine meetings with the Carolina Panthers, including the last five. That winning streak came to an end in Week 5, as Carolina posted a 23-16 road victory behind a 313-yard passing performance by Teddy Bridgewater. The Panthers will attempt to complete their first season sweep since 2013 when they host the Falcons on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC is set for 8:20 p.m. ET.

Carolina (3-4) will try to avoid a three-game slide after suffering a 27-24 loss at New Orleans last Sunday. Meanwhile, the Falcons (1-6) were three seconds away from their second straight win, but gave up a game-tying 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired and Detroit kicker Matt Prater booted the extra point to hand Atlanta a 23-22 defeat. Carolina is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Panthers vs. Falcons odds from William Hill, down one from the opener, while the over-under is 52. Before locking in any Falcons vs. Panthers picks, make sure you see the latest Thursday Night Football predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 15-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 8 on an incredible 111-72 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Panthers vs. Falcons. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Falcons vs. Panthers:

  • Panthers vs. Falcons spread: Carolina -1.5
  • Panthers vs. Falcons over-under: 52 points
  • Panthers vs. Falcons money line: Carolina -125, Atlanta +105
  • CAR: Panthers are 0-5 against the spread in their last five Thursday games
  • ATL: Falcons are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road contests

Why the Panthers can cover

Bridgewater has thrown a pair of touchdown passes in three of his last four games, including the victory over Atlanta on Oct. 11. The 27-year-old Louisville product completed 27-of-36 attempts in that contest to eclipse the 300-yard mark for just the second time this season. Robby Anderson had catches for 112 yards, while DJ Moore had four for 93 yards and a TD.

Running back Mike Davis, who is with his fourth team since being selected by San Francisco in the fourth round of the 2015 NFL Draft, gained a season-high 89 yards on 16 carries and hauled in nine passes for 60 yards and a touchdown against Atlanta three weeks ago. It was the second straight 80-yard effort by Davis, who has been serving as Carolina's No. 1 back.

The 24-year-old Christian McCaffrey, who became the third player in NFL history to record 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving last season, has missed the last five games with a high-ankle sprain and reportedly will not suit up on Thursday Night Football.

Why the Falcons can cover

Jones has led Atlanta with eight receptions in the two games since his return. The 31-year-old from Alabama has been contained well by Carolina, however, recording more than six catches only three times in 15 career games while recording at least 100 yards on just four occasions. But Jones had an historical performance against the Panthers in 2016, when he set the Falcons' franchise record with 300 yards on 12 receptions, and is more than capable of coming up with another strong effort on Thursday. 

Carolina also will need to pay close attention to Calvin Ridley, who is also emerging as a top-flight receiver. The 25-year-old, who also played collegiately for the Crimson Tide, ranks third in the NFL with 615 receiving yards and has amassed 509, and four touchdowns, in five career meetings with the Panthers.

How to make Panthers vs. Falcons picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says both starting quarterbacks will combine for nearly 600 passing yards. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Falcons vs. Panthers on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Panthers vs. Falcons spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.