Patriots vs. Titans odds: NFL Playoff picks from expert on 14-2 run

The Tennessee Titans take on the New England Patriots in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs Saturday night. The defending Super Bowl champions are 13.5-point favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 48. That's up one from the opener.

Before you make any picks on this AFC divisional round game, you need to see what Galin "The Dragon" Dragiev has to say.

Last week in the wild-card round, Dragiev nailed Tennessee +8.5, Buffalo +9 and Atlanta as an outright underdog winner at +250 on the money line.

Those picks extended his NFL streak to an amazing 14-2. Anyone who has followed his picks is having a lucrative start to 2018.

Now, Dragiev has examined every angle, every pick and every trend in Titans vs. Patriots and locked in his pick. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

Dragiev knows the Titans pulled out an impressive, if improbable victory against the Chiefs, storming all the way back from an 18-point deficit to win as underdogs (+350).

Running back Derrick Henry, carrying the mail in place of an injured DeMarco Murray (knee), ran for 156 yards and a score and was the team's second-leading receiver. It was the second straight week Henry had topped 100 yards from scrimmage and the third time this season he rushed for over 100 yards.

SportsLine's advanced projection model says Henry will continue churning out big yardage on Saturday night. He's projected for over 100 yards once again.

Quarterback Marcus Mariota added 46 yards rushing on eight attempts, pushing his two-week total to 106. His running ability has given Tennessee's offense a dimension it lacked for much of the season. He also threw a touchdown pass to himself off a batted ball.

Now, Mariota and Henry get a date with a Patriots defense that's 30th against the pass (251.3 yards per game) and 20th against the run (114.8).

Jets QB Bryce Petty threw for 232 yards against New England last week. The Super Bowl champs have also given up big passing performances in recent games to Tyrod Taylor (281 yards), Ben Roethlisberger (281), and Jay Cutler (263), among others.

But just because the Titans pulled out an impressive road win in the NFL playoffs doesn't mean they'll stay within the spread at New England.

The Patriots have won 11 of their past 12 games and haven't lost at home since Week 4. They've scored at least 30 points three times in their past seven games.

The Patriots also feature a potent offense that can hurt you in more ways than just Brady. Running back Dion Lewis has scored five times in the past three weeks and topped 100 yards from scrimmage in two straight. According to reports, Patriots RBs Rex Burkhead and Mike Gillislee will both likely sit out Saturday's game with knee injuries, leaving Lewis as the primary workhorse once again.

QB Tom Brady has thrown for multiple scores in 10 games this season, including a masterful five-TD performance against the Texans in Week 3. SportsLine's model says Brady will throw for over 250 yards and two touchdowns against the Titans, with TE Rob Gronkowski being the best receiving bet to find the end zone despite putting up a goose-egg in his last game.

Dragiev is leaning Over, but he knows there's a critical x-factor you're not thinking about that ultimately determines the point-spread winner for Titans vs. Patriots.

So which side should you back in Titans vs. Patriots? Visit SportsLine now to see what critical stat determines which side of Titans-Patriots you need to be all over, all from the expert who is on a red-hot 14-2 run, and find out.

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