Pete Prisco's NFL Week 15 Picks: Brady will rebound, lead Patriots over Steelers

There's nothing like NFL overreactions, like this one we saw and heard Tuesday morning: 

Tom Brady's showing against the Miami Dolphins Monday night is the beginning of the end for the 40-year-old who is considered by some to be the GOAT.

Sure, Brady had an off night in Miami's upset victory over the Patriots, but to go as far as saying he's on the path to being done is absurd. Isn't that what they said a few years ago after that horrible showing in Kansas City? All he did that year was lead the Pats to another Super Bowl victory.

Brady didn't have tight end Rob Gronkowski Monday night, his best weapon, which impacted his performance. He also didn't have as good of protection up front as he's had in the past.

When that happens, Brady sees ghosts, gets jumpy and can sometimes be off. It was just one of those games.

Done? Please. He's had an unreal season for a man his age, and guess what? It's about to play out Sunday in Pittsburgh.

Brady has owned the Steelers in his career, throwing 29 touchdown passes and three picks against them, and he will again have a big day this time around. That's why I am picking the Patriots to go into Pittsburgh and win.

Tom Brady is just fine. You watch and see.

Miami at Buffalo

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Dolphins impressed by beating the Patriots Monday night, including a good showing by Jay Cutler. That was good Cutler. Can it continue? I think it does here, provided there isn't another Buffalo blizzard. This is essentially a playoff game, with the loser out. I think the Dolphins will win it. 

Pick: Dolphins 28, Bills 20

Green Bay at Carolina 

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

This should be the return of Aaron Rodgers for the Packers from his missed time with a shoulder injury. How effective can he be in his first game back? The Panthers were really good on defense last week against the Vikings, and I think that will be the case in this one. Cam Newton and the Panthers win it. 

Pick: Panthers 23, Packers 17

Baltimore at Cleveland 

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

This is a classic be-careful game for the Ravens. They are coming off a physical game with the Steelers and now head back out on the road. That's tough. The Browns almost beat the Packers last week, and they will play another solid game. The Ravens will win it late, but it's close. 

Pick: Ravens 21, Browns 18

Houston at Jacksonville 

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

This will be T.J. Yates at quarterback for the Texans. That's not a good thing against Jacksonville's defense. Blake Bortles is playing well, and I think that will continue. The Jaguars lock up a playoff berth by winning big. 

Pick: Jaguars 27, Texans 20

Cincinnati at Minnesota 

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Vikings are home after three straight on the road. The Bengals seemed to fold up shop last week. Minnesota's defense will control this game and the Bengals are banged up on defense, so Case Keenum and the Vikings should have success.

Pick: Vikings 30, Bengals 17

New York Jets at New Orleans 

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Jets will be starting Bryce Petty in this game, which will make it a lot tougher. They are also playing consecutive road games outside the division, which is even tougher for a team playing out the string. The Saints will be rested after playing last Thursday. This will be ugly. 

Pick: Saints 34, Jets 10

Philadelphia at New York Giants

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

The Eagles will be starting Nick Foles for the injured Carson Wentz, which will be a challenge for the offense. The Giants haven't done much on offense this entire season. This should be a low-scoring game with the Eagles defense coming up big.

Pick: Eagles 20, Giants 13

Arizona at Washington 

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

This is a long trip for an Arizona team that is basically eliminated, barring a miracle. The Redskins looked terrible against the Chargers, but they will bounce back this week. Look for Kirk Cousins to play well in front of the home folks. 

Pick: Redskins 27, Cardinals 17

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle 

4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

This will likely decide the division title. The Rams have a one-game lead, but I think Seattle is good in this type of spot. They will respond to a bad showing in Jacksonville by looking like the team that showed up against the Eagles two weeks ago. 

Pick: Seahawks 26, Rams 20

New England at Pittsburgh 

4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

This is the game of the week and will go a long way to deciding the top seed in the conference. The Steelers have been winning, but they have had major issues on defense. That's why Tom Brady and company will put up a big number and win this one. It will be a shootout, fun to watch, but Brady has dominated the Steelers and will do so here. 

Pick: Patriots 35, Steelers 31

Tennessee at San Francisco 

4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

This is a second straight road game for the Titans, who lost at Arizona last week. They aren't playing well, especially on offense. Jimmy Garoppolo is 2-0 as a starter for the 49ers, and I think that gets to 3-0 here. The Titans have problems. 

Pick: 49ers 21, Titans 17

Dallas at Oakland 

8:30 p.m. ET (NBC)

The Raiders were awful last week at Kansas City, but I expect a bounce-back game here. Derek Carr put the blame for that loss on him, and I think he responds. The Raiders will score a bunch of points to win a shootout.

Pick: Raiders 34, Cowboys 30

Atlanta at Tampa Bay 

Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)

The Falcons need this game to have a chance to win the division. They haven't looked like the 2016 team at all this season, but maybe this is a chance to get it going. The Bucs have defensive issues. Look for Matt Ryan to beat his former offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter. 

Pick: Falcons 28, Bucs 21

Denver at Indianapolis 

This isn't a very good Thursday night game, but the Broncos at least showed they have some fight last week in beating the Jets. I think that carries over here with Denver coming up with a big defensive effort to win on the road. 

Pick: Broncos 21, Colts 13

Thursday's result: Colts 25, Broncos 13

Chicago at Detroit 

The Bears are playing consecutive road games after beating up on the Bengals Sunday. The Lions are still alive in the playoff chase, which will show up in terms of motivation. Matt Stafford has a big day. 

Pick: Lions 28, Bears 23

Saturday's result: Lions 20, Bears 10

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City 

Saturday, 8:25 p.m. ET (NFL Network)

This game will likely decide the AFC West winner. The Chargers are rolling and the Chiefs bounced back against the Raiders last week. But the Chargers are a much better team than Oakland and I think their pass rush will get after Alex Smith. Chargers win a road game. 

Pick: Chargers 26, Chiefs 20

Saturday's result: Chiefs 30, Chargers 13 

CBS Sports Senior Writer

Pete Prisco has covered the NFL for three decades, including working as a beat reporter in Jacksonville for the Jaguars. When he's not watching game tape, you can find Pete on Twitter or dreaming of an... Full Bio

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