The final game of the Week 11 NFL schedule features a clash of Super Bowl contenders when the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET. Both teams are 9-1, with the lone loss coming to a fellow division leader: Kansas City lost by three at New England, while Los Angeles fell in a shootout at New Orleans. Monday Night Football takes place in LA this week after the game was moved from Estadio Azteca in Mexico City because of concerns about poor field conditions. Los Angeles is a three-point favorite in the latest Rams vs. Chiefs odds, while the over-under for total points scored has climbed to 63, believed to be the highest for a regular-season game in at least 30 years. Before you lock in your Rams vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you check out the results from the SportsLine Projection Model.
In a straight-up, pick'em format, the proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017, performing better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 11 on a blistering 10-0 run. For the season, it is now 24-9 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 72-43. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model is 98-48 this season, again ranking in the top 15 for NFLPickWatch.com. It's 8-3 straight-up on Monday Night Football this season, and anybody who has been following it is way, way up.
Now, it has simulated Chiefs vs. Rams 10,000 times, and while we can tell you it's leaning Over, it's also produced a strong point-spread selection that hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. That pick is only available at SportsLine.
The model knows Kansas City is led by breakout sensation Patrick Mahomes, the quarterback it moved up to take in the first round of last year's NFL Draft. His 3,150 passing yards are tops in the league entering Week 11. He has thrown 31 touchdowns against seven interceptions while completing 67 percent of his attempts.
Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt is fourth in rushing at 754 yards per game and third in carries with 167. He has 13 total touchdowns this season, including six through the air.
The Chiefs are a rock solid 8-2 against the spread this season, including a perfect 5-0 on the road, but they are no sure thing to make it six straight against a Rams club that hopes to continue its own dominant run.
Todd Gurley's 988 yards on the ground are 234 more than Hunt (754), the second-year Kansas City standout who led the NFL in rushing yards last season. Gurley also led the NFL in scoring (108 points), carries (198), yards from scrimmage (1,390) and touchdowns (17) entering Week 11. Gurley has hit pay dirt in every game this season, including a 208-yard, two-touchdown gem against the division-rival Broncos on the road.
The Rams only rank No. 20 in total defense, but are No. 12 in scoring defense, yielding 23.1 points per game. The unit is anchored by defensive tackle Aaron Donald, who leads the league in sacks with 12.5.
Who wins Rams vs. Chiefs? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons.