The Baltimore Ravens had lost 21 consecutive games in which they trailed by double-digits before rallying from a 10-point deficit to defeat Tennessee on Wild Card Weekend. With his eighth career playoff road victory, coach John Harbaugh passed Tom Landry and Tom Coughlin for most in NFL history. The Ravens will hope to get their coach another when they visit the Buffalo Bills on Saturday in an AFC Divisional Round game in the 2021 NFL Playoffs. Kickoff from Bills Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET.
Baltimore (12-5) defeated the Titans 20-13 last Sunday to improve its postseason winning percentage to .615 (16-10), which is second only to New England's .638 (37-21). While the Ravens have won six in a row, the Bills (14-3) are riding a seven-game winning streak after edging Indianapolis last weekend for their first playoff win since 1995. Buffalo is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Ravens odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 49.5. Before locking in any Ravens vs. Bills picks or NFL predictions, see what SportsLine's resident Baltimore expert, Mike Tierney, has to say.
A national sportswriter whose work appears in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He prefers to evaluate each game from the underdog's point of view and has used that philosophy to dominate the NFL, going 66-44 against the spread in 2019 and 63-46 in 2018.
Tierney entered the 2020 season with a 282-222 record at SportsLine (2016-19) on all NFL picks, returning $3,704 to $100 players. He has just finished another solid regular season and entered the playoffs on a 23-15 run on his NFL selections.
In addition, Tierney has gone an incredible 19-8 on his last 27 against-the-spread picks involving the Ravens. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
- Bills vs. Ravens spread: Buffalo -2.5
- Bills vs. Ravens over-under: 49.5 points
- Bills vs. Ravens money line: Buffalo -150, Baltimore +130
- BUF: Bills are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games
- BAL: Has a plus-10.1 point differential
Why the Bills can cover
Buffalo was a dangerous team during the regular season, as it finished second in total offense (396.4 yards) and scoring (31.3 points) while ranking third in passing (288.8 yards). Quarterback Josh Allen registered eight 300-yard performances and threw two or more touchdown passes on 13 occasions. The 24-year-old was just as effective against the Colts last weekend, throwing for 324 yards and two TDs while running for a team-high 54 yards and another score.
Allen was fourth in the league in completion percentage (69.2), fifth in yards (4,544), fifth in TD tosses (37), and sixth in yards per game (284) while leading the Bills with eight rushing scores.
Why the Ravens can cover
Baltimore scored both of its touchdowns against Tennessee on the ground, with quarterback Lamar Jackson recording one and rookie J.K. Dobbins notching the other. The 22-year-old Dobbins has rushed for a score in seven consecutive contests and can tie Maurice Jones-Drew (2006) for the longest such streak ever by a rookie with a TD on Saturday. Dobbins has registered a total of eight touchdowns during his streak.
The Ravens, who are 6-3 in the all-time series against Buffalo and have won three straight meetings, also came up big defensively versus the Titans last weekend. They had a 401-209 advantage in total yards and outgained Tennessee 236-51 on the ground, holding two-time reigning NFL rushing leader Derrick Henry to a season-low 40 yards.
During the regular season, Baltimore ranked eighth in the league against the run (108.8 yards), seventh in total defense (329.8), sixth against the pass (221) and second in points allowed (18.9).
How to make Ravens vs. Bills picks
Tierney has analyzed this matchup, and while he's leaning under on the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing it here.
So who wins Ravens vs. Bills in the NFL Playoffs 2021? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Bills vs. Ravens spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the expert who's 19-8 on Ravens picks, and find out.