|If the Redskins Rule holds, Mitt Romney will be elected President on Tuesday. (Getty Images)
Months after Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney joked about rising oceans and suggested FEMA should be privatized, he got some much-needed good news Sunday, two days before the nation goes to the polls to decide the next Commander-in-Chief: The Carolina Panthers won.
Romney, who was born in Michigan and was once the governor of Massachusetts, doesn't have any ties to the Charlotte area. But he's certainly well aware of the Redskins Rule. Specifically: Going back to 1940, a Redskins victory in their last home game before the election has meant the party currently in power remained in power 17 of 18 times. With a Redskins loss on Sunday to the Panthers, that portends good things for Romney's political future.
The one exception came in 2004, when the Redskins lost to the Packers but George W. Bush was re-elected.
Not to worry, Romney supporters. Elias Sports Bureau's Steve Hirdt can explain the one-time anomaly:
"I went back and studied the ‘Redskins Rule' data and what happened in 2004 was explained in 2000," he told ESPN's Front Row last week. "Because Al Gore actually won the popular vote in 2000 -- but lost in the Electoral College -- it reversed the polarity of the subsequent election. The opposite of the usual 'Redskins Rule' was true.
"Redskins Rule 2.0 established that when the popular vote winner does not win the election, the impact of the Redskins' game on the subsequent presidential election gets flipped. So, with that, the Redskins' loss in 2004 signaled that the incumbent would remain in the White House."
So congrats, Mitt. It looks like you're in line to be the 45th President of the United States. And who knows, maybe Marty Hurney gets a cabinet position out of it.
In related news, The New York Times' Nate Silver does not believe in the Redskins Rule. His current projections:
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