Two teams in dire need of a victory square off Sunday when the Miami Dolphins host the Washington Redskins at 1 p.m. ET. Miami is 0-4 overall and 0-3 at home, while Washington is 0-5 overall and 0-2 on the road. Neither team has fared well against the spread this season -- Washington is 1-4, while the Dolphins are 0-4. Through their first four games of the season, the Dolphins are being outscored 163-26. The Redskins, meanwhile, have failed to score more than seven points in each of their last two games. Washington is favored by 4.5-points in the latest Dolphins vs. Redskins odds, while the Over-Under is set at 42. Before you make any Redskins vs. Dolphins picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 6 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 23-14 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an 85-57 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 5, it nailed the Rams (+1.5) staying within the spread against the Seahawks and the Texans (-4) covering with plenty of room to spare against the Falcons. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has simulated Dolphins vs. Redskins 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
The model knows the Dolphins have had success against the Redskins on their home turf. In fact, the Dolphins are 5-0 in their last five meetings against Washington at home. And despite scoring 10 points or less in every game this season, starting quarterback Josh Rosen has shown improvement. In his last start against the Chargers, Rosen completed 17-of-24 passes for 180 yards and a touchdown.
Washington, meanwhile, dropped its fifth straight game, falling to the New England Patriots 33-7. Washington's loss to the Patriots sparked immediate change that saw head coach Jay Gruden get fired. Former Oakland Raiders head coach Bill Callahan is taking over in an interim role and will lead Washington against Miami on Sunday.
The Redskins are 4-8 in their last 12 games against the Dolphins, and they'll enter Sunday's matchup averaging 212.8 yards per game through the air. On the other sideline, the Dolphins are stumbling into the contest with a 1-4 record in their last five games at home. However, Washington's defense ranks 28th in the NFL in total yards per game (407.8), 22nd in passing yards allowed per game (263.8) and 28th in rushing yards per game (144.0).
So who wins Redskins vs. Dolphins? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Redskins vs. Dolphins spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.