The Dallas Cowboys will visit the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 13. Both teams are still in the NFL playoff picture with just over a month remaining. The Cowboys lead the NFC East at 7-4 and appear to be in line for the postseason, but Washington has cut the lead to two games in the division in the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Saints are sitting at 5-6, but are still in the hunt.

Kickoff from Caesars Superdome is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by six points in the latest Saints vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 46. Before you lock in any Cowboys vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has simulated Cowboys vs. Saints 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. Saints:

  • Saints vs. Cowboys spread: Dallas -6
  • Saints vs. Cowboys over-under: 46 points 
  • Saints vs. Cowboys money line: Dallas -250, Saints +205
  • DAL: Cowboys have covered six straight games against NFC opponents
  • NO: Under is 9-1-1 in Saints' last 11 Thursday games
Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys

Why the Cowboys can cover

The Cowboys are coming off two losses in a row, but they'll have the benefit of being the healthier team this week. Ezekiel Elliott avoided missing time after suffering a knee injury last week, while it appears that CeeDee Lamb (concussion) and Amari Cooper (COVID) will return to action after they both missed the Thanksgiving loss to the Raiders.

Dallas will be without head coach Mike McCarthy (COVID) and Cedrick Wilson (ankle), who is coming off a 100-yard game, but interim head coach Dan Quinn has experience and Kellen Moore should have no issues running the No. 1 offense in the league with his top two receiving options back.

Why the Saints can cover 

After stagnant play from the offense, the Saints appear ready to turn to Taysom Hill under center after he took first-team practice reps ahead of Trevor Siemian. Hill's presence would make New Orleans multi-dimensional on offense after defenses loaded the box to shut down the run game. The Saints won three of the four games Hill started at QB last season and went 3-1 against the spread.

The Saints' defense will also benefit from not being put in precarious positions by a struggling offense, and that side of the ball has been the strongest unit for New Orleans all year. Defensive end Marcus Davenport has 4.5 sacks over the last three games and will go up against a backup offensive tackle after Terence Steele was placed on the COVID-19 list. Dak Prescott has been taken down six times over the last two games, so Davenport and Cameron Jordan could wreak havoc in Dallas' backfield.

How to make Cowboys vs. Saints picks 

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 47 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Cowboys vs. Saints pick at SportsLine

So who wins Cowboys vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Saints spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.